Did it change for Ohtani when he went up to a 95 for the odds?
I don't that is the cause because Judge and Alvarez are both also at .006% odds.
The odds are going to change throughout the year for some of these.
If they have a roster update and add 6 new diamonds and only downgrade 3 diamonds to gold then some odds will be changed among the individual diamonds to maintain that 2% chance of a getting a diamond.
Nobody pays that close of attention to what cards get added or removed from standard packs that could affect odds of individual cards.
Still not a fan of the move though.



