Pack Odds Study

[CoachPappy17_PSN]

I wanted to track the odds for getting Diamond Packs throughout the year. It has always been my feeling that MLB the show starts out tight with diamond packs, but then allows more to be pulled after most of us have completed the Live collection. I will continue to update this throughout the year. Looking at updating at least once a month.

April Packs opened/Diamonds
585 The Show packs opened. 9 Diamonds pulled. Realized Odds - 1.5% chance of pulling a diamond.
From AI
🧠 Interpretation
You expected about 11–12 diamonds
Getting 9 diamonds is a bit below average, but still very normal
This outcome is not unlucky at all—it happens roughly 1 in 11 times

April Ballin Packs
92 Ballin packs opened. 5 diamonds pulled. Realized odds - 5.4% chance of pulling a diamond
**From AI
🧠 Interpretation
Expected: ~6 diamonds
You got: 5 diamonds
That’s slightly below average, but very normal

This happens about 1 in 7 times**