What will Mike Trouts career stats be?
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@Dino-might_not said in What will Mike Trouts career stats be?:
My guesses:
.282AVG
.387OBP
580 HR
2700H
2100R
1800RBI
330SB4 MVPs
120 WARThose are solid extrapolations
.288 AVG
.411 OBP
614 HR
2727 H
2020 R
1750 RBI
313 SB6 MVPs
150 WAR (Possibly higher if his career is lengthened by years as a DH)
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I'll go with
650 homeruns
Career 150 fWARJust short of Bonds/Ruth, but squarely in top 5 all time
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Just realized my prediction is EXACTLY Willie Mays... Sums it up perfectly. Modern day Mays
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Here are mine
.283 AVG
.407 OBP
618 HR
2908 H
1872 R
129 WAR
1610 RBI
335 SB
5X MVPI based mine on a 18 year career with a dip in numbers in the next 6 years only slightly as his career numbers seem to suggest in some categories and the last three a bigger decline as age increases. Very solid and for sure Hall of Fame worthy, but maybe a bit short of potential considering his status now and what was expected.
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@elway7751 said in What will Mike Trouts career stats be?:
Here are mine
.283 AVG
.407 OBP
618 HR
2908 H
1872 R
129 WAR
1610 RBI
335 SB
5X MVPI based mine on a 18 year career with a dip in numbers in the next 6 years only slightly as his career numbers seem to suggest in some categories and the last three a bigger decline as age increases. Very solid and for sure Hall of Fame worthy, but maybe a bit short of potential considering his status now and what was expected.
Hey, 129 WAR would inner circle HOF.. he would be the 7th greatest position player, ahead of Stan the Man..
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No Im not suggesting anything about these numbers are bad at all, Im just saying his status now and what is expected, to not get to say 3000 hits or 650 HRS or 2000 runs and RBIs would feel diasspointing, but those are very lofty numbers for sure.
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I hope he has a long and successful career, but he is young and already gets banged up a bit on the regular. He is also a big guy. Large frame. Many guys like this have a hard time staying healthy throughout a 16-18 year career. Like I said, I wish him well, as he is an amazing talent. But I wouldnt be surprised if he is playing 1st base by 33, and struggling to get in 120 games per season.
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@ChuckCLC said in What will Mike Trouts career stats be?:
I hope he has a long and successful career, but he is young and already gets banged up a bit on the regular. He is also a big guy. Large frame. Many guys like this have a hard time staying healthy throughout a 16-18 year career. Like I said, I wish him well, as he is an amazing talent. But I wouldnt be surprised if he is playing 1st base by 33, and struggling to get in 120 games per season.
Other than missing 40 games in '17, he's never really missed much time. I wouldn't say he's a large frame either, or certainly not a body type that won't age well. He's built like a running back. 6'2, 230, very little bad weight...
Who knows, with injuries, but I don't see him playing 1st base, probably ever. Maybe RF at 34 or something. DH at 40.. -
It's a bummer that he lost half this season(along with every one else). But it could be the difference between 580 or 600 homeruns.
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@Nanthrax_1 said in What will Mike Trouts career stats be?:
@ChuckCLC said in What will Mike Trouts career stats be?:
I hope he has a long and successful career, but he is young and already gets banged up a bit on the regular. He is also a big guy. Large frame. Many guys like this have a hard time staying healthy throughout a 16-18 year career. Like I said, I wish him well, as he is an amazing talent. But I wouldnt be surprised if he is playing 1st base by 33, and struggling to get in 120 games per season.
Other than missing 40 games in '17, he's never really missed much time. I wouldn't say he's a large frame either, or certainly not a body type that won't age well. He's built like a running back. 6'2, 230, very little bad weight...
Who knows, with injuries, but I don't see him playing 1st base, probably ever. Maybe RF at 34 or something. DH at 40..I hope you are right. But height and weight doesnt tell all about body types. But I can honestly hope I am wrong and Trout goes on to become the greatest baseball player ever.
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Trout to me is one of those players you just have to see to understand how good he is, and is more backed up by modern stats than old school “counting stats.”
He walks so much I don’t think there’s any way he gets to 3000 hits, he’s 28 and not even at 1500 yet. But it wouldn’t surprise me if he finishes near the top of the all time on-base leaderboard.
I think his injuries and body type will cause him to miss too much time to get to 600 HRs. I see his 30s being more Albert Pujols than Willie Mays.
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It’s also worth remembering that until that last two seasons, Trout was putting up his numbers in a heavily pitcher dominated era. 2010 through 2017 or so was not a high scoring environment and the ball wasn’t juiced like it was last year
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If he stays healthy, sure. Some of the predictions posted above could be attainable. It's all gonna depend on health.
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When it’s all said and done, Trout and Joe D will be the two best right handed hitters of all time!
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He will reach 3000 hits and be a top 5 even top 3 player of all time, it depends how you value pitchers
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@mjfc_363 said in What will Mike Trouts career stats be?:
When it’s all said and done, Trout and Joe D will be the two best right handed hitters of all time!
Mays, Wagner, Aaron, Hornsby, Foxx... Technically all these guys and more were better and longer lasting than Joe D..
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I'll tell you at the end of his career.
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