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kpdevine_XBLK

kpdevine_XBL

@kpdevine_XBL
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Recent Best Controversial

    one of the most underrated aspects of the game
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    you can use the face scan feature and then go try out new hairstyles to potentially use in real life. It never occurred to me that I’d look so good with a retro slick back style but now I might have to grow it and try it out


  • How about that Judge year huh
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    Would be crazy if someone saw this coming, say half a decade ago... maybe during his rookie year.

    -JITG


  • Judge is the GOAT?
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    Still remember how much I was enjoying Judge's rookie season and now look where he's at. Maybe I was on to something lol


  • Thurman Munson CAP
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    Haven’t really worked on defense a lot but he should be able to hit high 80s low 90s on most things. Will be a very good catcher and works well on Yankee theme team.


  • Thurman Munson CAP
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    I know some people are against CAPs, but I tried to make the late and great Thurman Munson for my catcher. Was able to get 121/101 hitting with 99 speed. Fun card to use.

    alt text

    alt text

    alt text


  • 1/1 CHAD GREEN!
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    @deleteyourttvbtw_mlbts said in 1/1 CHAD GREEN!:

    @ericulous1_psn said in 1/1 CHAD GREEN!:

    @jkooch66_xbl said in 1/1 CHAD GREEN!:

    Congrats on wasting so much time

    You're just a ray of sunshine aren't you?

    …

    Been banned on a few accounts, currently not bypassing any bans. The part about the twitch also just isn’t true.


  • 1/1 CHAD GREEN!
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    If Clay Holmes gets an ASG card I’ll do it again tonight


  • 1/1 CHAD GREEN!
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    @jkooch66_xbl said in 1/1 CHAD GREEN!:

    Congrats on wasting so much time

    It was fun and I only really need to do it once this year so I don't mind


  • 1/1 CHAD GREEN!
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    @aam34_psn said in 1/1 CHAD GREEN!:

    That's a true superfractor! Congrats

    Was worried I wouldn’t get 1/1 because I was at work yesterday and I went to bed at P2, woke up and the one dude was still on P4 so I decided to sneak a few hours in and hope he didn’t get on today. Got 3/3 to P3, 2/2 to P2, and then 1/1 Superfractor


  • 1/1 CHAD GREEN!
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    alt text

    Guys I got the 1/1 Chad


  • Statistical Anomaly -- You will never witness this
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    @bob_loblaw1984 said in Statistical Anomaly -- You will never witness this:

    Statistically speaking, 0.85% WILL witness this…per your math. And yea, don’t buy packs my man.

    I’m more talking the .000013


  • Statistical Anomaly -- You will never witness this
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    But did I really lose 375,000 stubs if I got to witness a streak of a mathematical anomaly before my eyes? During those last 20 or so packs, I was almost rooting for myself not to get a diamond, just to witness the event at hand. Had I gotten through 150 packs, .98^250 = .0064, I would've witnessed an event with a .64% chance of happening, and I could have kept ripping to watch the math unfold in exponential decay.

    Even so, the odds of me going 236 packs without a diamond (.0085) and then only pulling one on pack 237 (.02) is .0085*.02 = .00017. And then the odds that my last 13 packs would not have a diamond (.98^13) were .76.

    .76*.00017= .000013 or a .0013% chance. This sequence will only happen 1 out of every 100,000 times it is tried, and it undoubtedly is not something that most players try (opening 250 packs and only pulling a diamond on #237). I did something that you will never do, and while I lost 360,000 stubs doing it, nobody can ever take this away from me, and will likely ever replicate the events which took place. You can tell me that that is bad pack luck, but that individual sequence, is something that will likely never be replicated.


  • Statistical Anomaly -- You will never witness this
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    It took me 237 standard packs before I pulled a diamond (Paul Goldschmidt, sold for 10k).

    Let's do some math; in the 375k cost of those packs, I had a 1:50 chance of each individual pack containing a diamond.

    Or a 49/50 (.98) chance that they wouldn't contain a diamond.

    Compound statistics tells us we can multiply the probability of independent events to find a compound probability. For example, .98^2=.96 meaning that if you opened 2 packs there is a 96% chance you won't get a diamond (which makes sense, it's two packs). Or in 10 packs, .98^10=.82, there is a 18% chance of a diamond in 10 packs, not great, but almost 1/5 of every 10 pack bundle will have a diamond.

    How about my first 236 packs before a diamond? .98^236=0.0085. As a percentage we move the decimal place over so there was a .85% chance of this happening. I had a 99.15% chance of getting a diamond but I didn't. Statistics don't care about your feelings, and that stat changed the moment I opened pack number one. Each event was independent, the game doesn't care if I'm 200 packs in and am "due", the next pack is always 1:50, the game doesn't care if you just pulled Trout, 1:50 on the next pack. And as I saw this game show an ounce of sympathy on pack 237, with my first diamond, following a streak that happens less than 1% of the time, I saw the blue high diamond lights, before being greeted with a pull of 10,000 stub value, a small reward for the 375k lost.


  • I'm Making Logos (Take a Look!)
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    @styxxx80_xbl said in I'm Making Logos (Take a Look!):

    I have also sent a message

    Check Xbox messages


  • I'm Making Logos (Take a Look!)
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    I can do pretty much anything!


  • Clay Holmes is like 12 overalls too low
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    One slip up shouldn’t stop him from going diamond, 1.35 ERA on the year. Hope SDS looks past this especially since he should’ve gotten boosted last week


  • I'm Making Logos (Take a Look!)
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    @irishfist412_xbl said in I'm Making Logos (Take a Look!):

    Filled out the form. Whenever you get to it - Best way to reach me is messaging me on Xbox. Thank you.

    Check Xbox messages!


  • I'm Making Logos (Take a Look!)
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    If you have any questions feel free to let me know, want to try starting and possibly finishing some tonight while watching the Yankee game.


  • I'm Making Logos (Take a Look!)
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    Hey y'all, I'm Kieran. Been around the forums for a few years, started as a PlayStation user, and now I'm on Xbox. I've been making logos in the game on and off for the past couple of years and want to start again.

    While there's no guarantee that I'll get to your logo (I'm very busy with work and have about a month before I head back to college), I will try and get some done.

    If you are interested, please fill out the form below, and I'll reach out to you.
    https://forms.gle/RjyrMhtdkFNgqAo47

    Here are some examples of my previous work:

    alt text

    alt text

    alt text

    alt text


  • Clay Holmes is like 12 overalls too low
  • kpdevine_XBLK kpdevine_XBL

    @broken_toy1_psn said in Clay Holmes is like 12 overalls too low:

    He's on par to go with Aaron Loup last year. I don't believe Loup got higher than low gold. He did get a finest card though. I also believe Holmes has already gotten a Topps now card.

    This is incorrect. Loop had a 420 ERA+, Holmes has a 830 ERA+

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