K
There’s the Babe Ruth’s, Ken Griffeys, and Nolan Ryan’s of the world, but the one card I really want is the Takashi Series Clay Holmes.
SDS I made some card art here, you could make it one of those deals with like how players get a 99 overall version of themselves and load a Takashi Series Clay Holmes onto my account.
Guys I got the 1/1 Chad
Full disclosure, I’m heavily invested, bought hundreds of him at 40ish stubs, he’s currently 400. But since coming to the Yankees he’s been nothing short of elite.
And his baseball savant shows it’s sustainable success. He’s legitimately a top 5 relief pitcher in baseball in my opinion.
He has 1.2 bWAR. For reference, that’s more (or equal) bWAR than Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette combined (1.2 bWAR)
He also has the longest current scoreless appearances streak for this season with 19.2 scoreless innings his last 18 times out.
If you want to bring up career stats, I’d ask you to look at him since coming to New York, because he’s been nothing short of elite and is playing like a diamond, as has he his whole time as a Yankee.
His ERA+ of 835 rivals prime Zack Britton (803 ERA+). That’s ridiculous.
this was really funny in my head
Hey y'all, I'm Kieran. Been around the forums for a few years, started as a PlayStation user, and now I'm on Xbox. I've been making logos in the game on and off for the past couple of years and want to start again.
While there's no guarantee that I'll get to your logo (I'm very busy with work and have about a month before I head back to college), I will try and get some done.
If you are interested, please fill out the form below, and I'll reach out to you.
https://forms.gle/RjyrMhtdkFNgqAo47
Here are some examples of my previous work:
It took me 237 standard packs before I pulled a diamond (Paul Goldschmidt, sold for 10k).
Let's do some math; in the 375k cost of those packs, I had a 1:50 chance of each individual pack containing a diamond.
Or a 49/50 (.98) chance that they wouldn't contain a diamond.
Compound statistics tells us we can multiply the probability of independent events to find a compound probability. For example, .98^2=.96 meaning that if you opened 2 packs there is a 96% chance you won't get a diamond (which makes sense, it's two packs). Or in 10 packs, .98^10=.82, there is a 18% chance of a diamond in 10 packs, not great, but almost 1/5 of every 10 pack bundle will have a diamond.
How about my first 236 packs before a diamond? .98^236=0.0085. As a percentage we move the decimal place over so there was a .85% chance of this happening. I had a 99.15% chance of getting a diamond but I didn't. Statistics don't care about your feelings, and that stat changed the moment I opened pack number one. Each event was independent, the game doesn't care if I'm 200 packs in and am "due", the next pack is always 1:50, the game doesn't care if you just pulled Trout, 1:50 on the next pack. And as I saw this game show an ounce of sympathy on pack 237, with my first diamond, following a streak that happens less than 1% of the time, I saw the blue high diamond lights, before being greeted with a pull of 10,000 stub value, a small reward for the 375k lost.
I know some people are against CAPs, but I tried to make the late and great Thurman Munson for my catcher. Was able to get 121/101 hitting with 99 speed. Fun card to use.
@jkooch66_xbl said in 1/1 CHAD GREEN!:
Congrats on wasting so much time
It was fun and I only really need to do it once this year so I don't mind
Still remember how much I was enjoying Judge's rookie season and now look where he's at. Maybe I was on to something lol
you can use the face scan feature and then go try out new hairstyles to potentially use in real life. It never occurred to me that I’d look so good with a retro slick back style but now I might have to grow it and try it out
1.61 ERA since being traded to the Yankees. Invest because he should be gold.
My man just broke Mariano Rivers’s scoreless inning streak what does he have to do lol
And after coming back for like 4 days this is now my team. This is like the only game where this is possible lol.
But did I really lose 375,000 stubs if I got to witness a streak of a mathematical anomaly before my eyes? During those last 20 or so packs, I was almost rooting for myself not to get a diamond, just to witness the event at hand. Had I gotten through 150 packs, .98^250 = .0064, I would've witnessed an event with a .64% chance of happening, and I could have kept ripping to watch the math unfold in exponential decay.
Even so, the odds of me going 236 packs without a diamond (.0085) and then only pulling one on pack 237 (.02) is .0085*.02 = .00017. And then the odds that my last 13 packs would not have a diamond (.98^13) were .76.
.76*.00017= .000013 or a .0013% chance. This sequence will only happen 1 out of every 100,000 times it is tried, and it undoubtedly is not something that most players try (opening 250 packs and only pulling a diamond on #237). I did something that you will never do, and while I lost 360,000 stubs doing it, nobody can ever take this away from me, and will likely ever replicate the events which took place. You can tell me that that is bad pack luck, but that individual sequence, is something that will likely never be replicated.
@bob_loblaw1984 said in Statistical Anomaly -- You will never witness this:
Statistically speaking, 0.85% WILL witness this…per your math. And yea, don’t buy packs my man.
I’m more talking the .000013
@aam34_psn said in 1/1 CHAD GREEN!:
That's a true superfractor! Congrats
Was worried I wouldn’t get 1/1 because I was at work yesterday and I went to bed at P2, woke up and the one dude was still on P4 so I decided to sneak a few hours in and hope he didn’t get on today. Got 3/3 to P3, 2/2 to P2, and then 1/1 Superfractor
