Amazing pack odds
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Yep I’m hundreds of packs deep with basically no diamonds above quick sell. Opening packs is just tedious at this point. The odds of pulling a higher diamond are by far the worst they have ever been by a mile.
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Heh. When I first saw this thread, I thought it was someone busting the chops of those of us who have horrible pack luck, with this year being worse than ever. I'm glad to see I'm not alone in the pack luck misery this year.
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I'm having the best pack luck this year that I have ever had in years of playing this game. Most years I never pull any of the high diamonds at all, but this year I was lucky and pulled Judge very early on. With the odds being what they are, that's just how it goes, sometimes you are lucky and sometimes you aren't.
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I don’t understand the sentiment either. I have pulled Judge, JRam, and Ohtani from free standard packs or headliner packs (which have been the hottest packs for me). I also foolishly blew stubs on a two diamond packs during the last flash sale. Pulled a will smith in the first and Ohtani in the second. Sold him and invested all of that into Joe Ryan cards. Made a nice 30% off of it. I am sick of pulling egg cards and now moonshot cards in packs. The lower QS value of them makes it extremely infuriating.
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I don’t necessarily think pack luck is any different this year than any other year. Most people don’t come here to post when they have awesome luck. We just hear about the bad luck.
Last year, and I [censored] you not, on opening weekend I pulled Ohtani and two Trouts during PRE-release. I had live series finished by the end of March. Best pack luck id ever had. I didn’t post about it though. But the guy that goes a whole season without ever sniffing Trout or Ohtani is gonna post about it. It can be Infuriating, but that’s RNG probability for ya…
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@TripleH-4481_PSN Pack odds are exactly the same as they have always been.
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I pull diamonds from free packs all the time. Pulled Tatis yesterday and sold him and bought my 41st moonshot card so now I have Buxton. Also for some unknown reason I got 177k for completing a moment yesterday.
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Ever since I pulled Trout 2 weeks ago I haven't seen a LS diamond in any of my packs
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Went on a cold streak opening 210 packs with zero
! Just broke the slump though with a Corbin Burns New Threads!!! -
I feel like all the free showpacks they give you the odds for them are 100-1 or worse. Because i have opened 200 plus no diamonds a couple of times. I wrote them and email about it. It is bs for sure
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Last two years I've had disgusting pack luck with pulling both Trout and Ohtani early on, which bankrolled my investments and LS completions...this year the Show pack pulls have been the same three players (85 ovr diamonds)
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@trfatboy22_MLBTS said in Amazing pack odds:
@TripleH-4481_PSN Pack odds are exactly the same as they have always been.
This is true, strictly speaking.
But if you flood the market with low diamonds and there are hardly any high diamonds, then it's not the same.
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Bingo. But the fan boys love to say “technically speaking”. I live in the real world and having played the game for years I’ve had numerous runs of hundreds of earned packs this year with either zero diamonds or strictly 85s.
That’s not a coincidence or just bad luck. It’s the reality of this year’s game where the odds have been heavily skewed by including all low tier diamonds. Most of these sell for less or just slightly more than high golds.
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This has been a problem since they changed the quick sell value among tiers. Really we are to the point they need to either reframe the tiers to make diamonds higher overall again. Or make a whole new tier above diamond because it is very clearly different for a card to be 88-89+ or to be an 85.
However this does not mean pack odds have changed and we have to be careful saying things like that because people who don't know what you mean and people who do actually think that packs don't reward what they say they do.
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Well i just bought the flash sale packs. 2 85+ Live Series and 4 flash packs. 160k stubs. 3 packs were the same card. Both 85+ Live series packs and 1 flash pack was 85Ovr Chris Sale. I think that is very ridiculous. Anyone have better luck?
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If you look in the market you can see the full pack odds for every pack in the game by clicking the three lines
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@Buster_Cherry91_PSN
Well, there are very few blue ones out there (especiallly in the first couple of weeks), that is one explanation.
There are multiple expensive purples ones (early JRam, Marte, Trout) …If you really opened 1000 packs then you have either have your binder not cleaned up (having stubs sitting there) or you did not focus on getting ls (i.e. bought things you should not have bought, new threads for example) …
Last possible explanation: You had bad luck AND bought stuff at the wrong time (buy if you really need and/or when prices slow down). I bought a lot on the first Weekend-Classics, when multiple packs went to people
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I have opened roughly 2000 packs. Ive pulled 2 blue diamonds. Judge when he was around 200k and Merrill Kelly Spotlight. The odds are so sad. I would be furious if I spent real money.
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@DEF266_PSN the only way I’d spend real money. The only way. Is if I bought stubs and purchased the cards I wanted. No way would I spend money on packs
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@Lord-Oimak_MLBTS smart move bc If put money on, it would go to packs lol . But I only put money on release.
