I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!
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I haven't kept a spreadsheet but I've paid rough attention to my pack odds over the last 2 years and they have been almost dead on to what's advertised. Which makes sense because they're obviously not lying about it. If they were they'd make it seem better. A normal pack is 1:50 to get ANY diamond, including 85s. Those aren't very exciting odds, certainly not worth lying about. And I've never spent a dime so I have no reason to fudge my results.
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I'll go 0 for 100+ packs and then pull 3 in 20. The odds seem correct based on my results. They just come in waves for me.
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Since the program(s) were pretty stingy with pack rewards so far, I've been running the mystery map over and over. That was most of my xp for this first feature program.
23 diamond pulls in total, all but 3 from that map. They just come in streaks. 5-6 in the first couple days, then I went over 200 packs without a diamond player (couple stadiums and an icon or some such), then back to 5+ in 3 days,
Did well over this weekend, so might be looking at another dry spell now.
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I get dry times where i pack zero diamonds but ive had 50 bundle give me 95 pujols then ohtani and vlad jr in the 50 packs, And then ive opened 200 packs without a low diamond
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@sandule_mlbts said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
I know the fan boys will jump all over this but speaking to lots of mates who play the show everyone has the same observation. Pack pulls are way worse than last year so there is no way that pack odds can be the same! I love the game and think it's great, but this seems to be an observation I see voiced quite a lot.
Last 5 "Chase Packs" all gold! Over 25 Ballin packs not one diamond! Not even a gold from the many headliners! And have opened hundreds if not thousands of packs!
Haha, just opened a 50 pack bundle now! Chase = gold 80 of course!, Bundle = 50 golds highest an 82. Absolute garbage!
I stopped buying packs in 21 because of this.
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Played last night and opened about 20 packs no diamonds but have had awesome luck. Bought Jram to finish of the Cleveland collection.
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@tonythetiger2k16 said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
It's called "Marketing" .... Just like every company hyping their product or services to be the best, cheapest, tastiest, fastest, etc. .... "No Body Beats Our Prices" .... "World's Best Pizza" ... etc, etc.
With SDS is them claiming pack odds are more in favor this year to have Diamonds. All Marketing BS to pacify us. But pack odds are all BS. It just boils down to random pot luck & chance. Just how some will pull Trout 2 & 3 times in a year & some have only pulled him only 1 time in 4 to 5 years, some have never pulled a Trout ever. However there are many Trouts within packs to be pulled. It's just a matter if you are that freaking lucky to get packs having high tier Diamonds, including Trout which is always every year the highest stub value Live Series Diamond card.
When did SDS ever claim that odds for diamonds are better this year? That is total BS. Odds are right there with the packs, always. They're NOT GOOD. They never were.
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I saved up like 30 packs and pulled Harper and Bieber and then saved up a few more and pulled Freeman but that has been it mostly silvers and bronze except for the new bronze and silvers. Looking at you Seiya Suzuki.
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Diamonds are like life metaphor for life... It’s all luck... Some people are lucky and pull Trout night one every year... And some people have never pulled him...
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@sandule_mlbts said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
I know the fan boys will jump all over this but speaking to lots of mates who play the show everyone has the same observation. Pack pulls are way worse than last year so there is no way that pack odds can be the same! I love the game and think it's great, but this seems to be an observation I see voiced quite a lot.
Last 5 "Chase Packs" all gold! Over 25 Ballin packs not one diamond! Not even a gold from the many headliners! And have opened hundreds if not thousands of packs!
Haha, just opened a 50 pack bundle now! Chase = gold 80 of course!, Bundle = 50 golds highest an 82. Absolute garbage!
I don’t disagree with you. I got a Spencer Torkelson from on of the headliner packs I bought to start. And I got a Clayton Kershaw. That’s it. In the hundreds of packs I’ve opened. The other diamonds I’ve earned or bought. But it does seem a bit more spread out. idk. You know though once you complete the live series you’ll get those runs of 10 packs 3 diamonds lol
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Buying packs has ALWAYS been highway robbery!! I haven’t bought a pack in almost 3 years!
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Packs were MUCH better during the early access period. I pulled Trout, DeGrom 3x, Acuna, Tatis....but over the past week or so I haven't pulled much, even the diamonds I pull are mostly 85's. Honestly the best pulls I have had lately are diamond equipment
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@sandule_mlbts said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
Just tried another 50 pack bundle. Chase pack a gold again! That is 7 in a row now! Bundle gave me 2 diamonds, both icons! Absolute BS!!!
if you aren't buying stubs, where are you getting all these stubs from the content to buy 7 50 packs? especially if you aren't getting diamonds. Do you play the market?
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With thousands of people ripping 5 pack bundles every half hour of course diamonds are going to be harder to come across.
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I haven’t pulled a diamond yet, but the fact we all lost about half what we can eat by losing affinity packs doesn’t help…
All being said, the pack odds for diamonds should’ve been adjusted for the quick sell nuke, like if it was always 50-1 for a 5k quick sell, there’s no reason the adjustment can’t be made for a 30-1 odds on a 3k quick sell.
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@jeezy-e_psn said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
With thousands of people ripping 5 pack bundles every half hour of course diamonds are going to be harder to come across.
Ratios don’t change if quantities increase. Eg if 1 in every 50 people got a speeding ticket that means 10 in every 500 people got one (still a 1:50 ratio).
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why do so many of you question this? they are legally required to post this. they aren't going to lie on something that could be audited and result in a massive fine. pack odds don't motivate anyone to spend....it's not like the pack odds are good anyway so why would they lie?
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@sandule_mlbts said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
I know the fan boys will jump all over this but speaking to lots of mates who play the show everyone has the same observation. Pack pulls are way worse than last year so there is no way that pack odds can be the same! I love the game and think it's great, but this seems to be an observation I see voiced quite a lot.
Last 5 "Chase Packs" all gold! Over 25 Ballin packs not one diamond! Not even a gold from the many headliners! And have opened hundreds if not thousands of packs!
Haha, just opened a 50 pack bundle now! Chase = gold 80 of course!, Bundle = 50 golds highest an 82. Absolute garbage!
I feel you my guy. I said the same thing earlier.
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@sandule_mlbts said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
@dj-sparky-2k22_psn said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
@sandule_mlbts said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
I know the fan boys will jump all over this but speaking to lots of mates who play the show everyone has the same observation. Pack pulls are way worse than last year so there is no way that pack odds can be the same! I love the game and think it's great, but this seems to be an observation I see voiced quite a lot.
Last 5 "Chase Packs" all gold! Over 25 Ballin packs not one diamond! Not even a gold from the many headliners! And have opened hundreds if not thousands of packs!
Haha, just opened a 50 pack bundle now! Chase = gold 80 of course!, Bundle = 50 golds highest an 82. Absolute garbage!
I'm sure your aware of this; but the odds don't mean that one in every 50 packs you buy/earn will contain a Diamond. It means that you have a 1 of 50 chance to pull a Diamond out of that particular pack.
Yes completely aware. Just still seems like it's much worse than last year. Again, this is something that I have seen voiced quite a bit through my personal community of mates that play the game.
So far I have opened way more packs than the same time last year and it's been worse. Hopefully my luck changes but I'm not holding my breadth.
“Luck” doesn’t “change” or even exist. You have a 98% chance of not pulling a diamond on each pack you open. It doesn’t matter if you pulled no diamonds in the last 2 million packs or 4 Trouts in all of them, it’s still a 98% chance of not pulling a diamond in the next one.
Why are you wasting stubs on packs? Gambler’s fallacy? No matter how bad you believe your “luck” has been, you are never “due.”
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@retrogzy_xbl said in I think Pack Odds are a lie and just for show!:
why do so many of you question this? they are legally required to post this. they aren't going to lie on something that could be audited and result in a massive fine. pack odds don't motivate anyone to spend....it's not like the pack odds are good anyway so why would they lie?
They could easily lie as they would definitely not grant anyone access to server statistics to check. And considering capitalist corporate culture, they probably do lie about many things like most other companies! Profit before people mate, that's what capitalism is all about.
