Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck
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@suntlacrimae50_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
Also, that's not how odds work. Every time you open a pack, whatever pack it is, those odds reset. The Odds Gods don't know and don't care if you've never pulled Trout or if you've already pulled him twice this week.
That's why it's always advisable to never buy packs, only opening the ones you get for free, and to save your stubs for the cards you need.
I've never pulled Trout in a pack and I've been playing DD since 2016. I wonder how many packs that has been? I don't feel the love.
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As always it's ALWAYS ONLY those that have pulled the Trouts & top priced cards every year 2 & 3 times each that never realize how many others are not so freaking lucky as they are. But all of you lucky ones are in a minority group. It's the majority that does not have such luck. If the majority did, then pulling Trout or any of the top priced cards wouldn't be a big issue any more. Or having others say how they Finally pulled a Trout for 1st time ever in so many years playing.
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I've pulled Trout probably five times since 2018. However I never buy packs out of need. It is usually after the games peak when I have completed all collections and I'm sitting on 10 million stubs. People who buy packs and then complain they don't get Trout or other in demand cards are beyond silly.
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When I have purchased Bundle packs of 20 or 50, it was with the intention of getting any of the Common, Bronzes, Silvers & even Golds out of the way so I dont need to buy them off the market to complete a team collection of the few I may have been missing. All the repeats I acquired from those 20 & 50 bundles served well for Exchanges within Programs. However within 20 packs or 50 packs that came within those bundles, it's just frustrating that most times it dont give a LS Diamond & the rare times you are lucky to get an LS Diamond, it's a low tier low priced Diamond card & at times a repeat of 1 you already pulled before. I never bought Bundle packs with expectations of getting a top tier high priced LS Diamond card. But always was hoping that my luck was in my favor within that 20 or 50 Pack Bundle. Big freaking difference as to buying Bundles & assuming I will get those cards.
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@texas10pt_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@suntlacrimae50_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
Also, that's not how odds work. Every time you open a pack, whatever pack it is, those odds reset. The Odds Gods don't know and don't care if you've never pulled Trout or if you've already pulled him twice this week.
That's why it's always advisable to never buy packs, only opening the ones you get for free, and to save your stubs for the cards you need.
I've never pulled Trout in a pack and I've been playing DD since 2016. I wonder how many packs that has been? I don't feel the love.
You have me beat by a year. Played super late in 16 and only played BR. Started RS heavy in 17. Still no trout in a pack.
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@suntlacrimae50_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
SIX Live Series cards over 200K?
A bit of an exaggeration. Nevertheless...
Lock the LS up ASAP, even if you have to flip (read: crush your soul) to get it done. That's the lesson.
Not much of an exaggeration. Trout, Acuna and DeGrom at one point were over 200K and Vlad, Ohtani and Tatis were hovering around the 198-200K mark.
Right now, last i saw the 3 cards i need, Acuna was around 220, Ohtani was around 195 and Tatis was at 198.
Edit * Yes i know Trout is always over 350K and Acuna is around 220K....not sure on DeGrom since i pulled him 3 weeks ago.
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Dude wrote an essay, it's simple stay away from packs, I'm always joking about credit card spending to poke at the addicts on here
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Doesn't seem that hard. I've pulled 2 ohtani, 1 trea, 1 vlad, 1 scherzer, 1 hader and about 10 other diamonds worth less than 20k. Haven't spent a time and just grinded all the events and programs and have redone the mystery map about 5 times.
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@tonythetiger2k16 said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
As always it's ALWAYS ONLY those that have pulled the Trouts & top priced cards every year 2 & 3 times each that never realize how many others are not so freaking lucky as they are. But all of you lucky ones are in a minority group. It's the majority that does not have such luck. If the majority did, then pulling Trout or any of the top priced cards wouldn't be a big issue any more. Or having others say how they Finally pulled a Trout for 1st time ever in so many years playing.
I'm fully aware of my luck! Odds on pulling Trout are not publicly knows, but it's probably something like 1:500.
That being said, the past two year (my only DD years) I've pulled Trout while working the market and saving to buy him.
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The first week . the early access week, I pulled DeGrom 5 times. Acuna and Tatis 2x each, Trout, and Ohtani. I also pulled Scherzer like 6 times. I am not exaggerating about his and I didn't buy thousands of packs. Once regular access started, these cards became very rare. I've pulled 100 times the amount of packs since then without one of those cards again. Seriously. The first 100 packs or so I pulled all the above cards. In thousands of packs since then , I have not pulled any of those cards once. So SDS can say whatever they want about pack odds and how they are consistent , etc but that's a bunch of BS.
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What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
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@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
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@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
Makes sense, figured that would ne the case. I've pulled two Trea Turners this year, obviously no high quality diamonds.
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@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
Makes sense, figured that would ne the case. I've pulled two Trea Turners this year, obviously no high quality diamonds.
Only DeGrom so far; Trea twice too. At least he brings back decent dough.
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@nygxnymxfan68_xbl said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
The first week . the early access week, I pulled DeGrom 5 times. Acuna and Tatis 2x each, Trout, and Ohtani. I also pulled Scherzer like 6 times. I am not exaggerating about his and I didn't buy thousands of packs. Once regular access started, these cards became very rare. I've pulled 100 times the amount of packs since then without one of those cards again. Seriously. The first 100 packs or so I pulled all the above cards. In thousands of packs since then , I have not pulled any of those cards once. So SDS can say whatever they want about pack odds and how they are consistent , etc but that's a bunch of BS.
I mean, I've had good luck too, but the odds are the odds. In 1:50 (and probably 1:100, 1:500, 1:1000) odds, weird things happen to some people. There are you and me, and there are people who haven't pulled a single low diamond all year.
The only manipulation occurring, I think, is SDS not advertising what the odds are for 90's and Trout.
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@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
Makes sense, figured that would ne the case. I've pulled two Trea Turners this year, obviously no high quality diamonds.
Only DeGrom so far; Trea twice too. At least he brings back decent dough.
Yeah, better than my first diamond pull this year, Muncy who dropped to gold a couple days later.
I've had Good luck really, also pulled Judge, Robert, Hader, Hendricks, and Perez, I've only had the game 2 weeks.
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Close to 500 packs opened so far and I’ve pulled Bieber twice and Muncy once. Shits broken.
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It is luck and I been lucky the last 2 years, I earn stubs and buy packs, I am three cards away this year, if flipping was better and was not boring this year I would not have been buying as many packs. I have pulled a lot of diamonds this year all I need is Trout, Ohtani and Vlad Jr, I was stupid but then again maybe not. I pulled Ohtani twice this year but sold him both times to complete the NL collection.
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