Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck
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Dude wrote an essay, it's simple stay away from packs, I'm always joking about credit card spending to poke at the addicts on here
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Doesn't seem that hard. I've pulled 2 ohtani, 1 trea, 1 vlad, 1 scherzer, 1 hader and about 10 other diamonds worth less than 20k. Haven't spent a time and just grinded all the events and programs and have redone the mystery map about 5 times.
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@tonythetiger2k16 said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
As always it's ALWAYS ONLY those that have pulled the Trouts & top priced cards every year 2 & 3 times each that never realize how many others are not so freaking lucky as they are. But all of you lucky ones are in a minority group. It's the majority that does not have such luck. If the majority did, then pulling Trout or any of the top priced cards wouldn't be a big issue any more. Or having others say how they Finally pulled a Trout for 1st time ever in so many years playing.
I'm fully aware of my luck! Odds on pulling Trout are not publicly knows, but it's probably something like 1:500.
That being said, the past two year (my only DD years) I've pulled Trout while working the market and saving to buy him.
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The first week . the early access week, I pulled DeGrom 5 times. Acuna and Tatis 2x each, Trout, and Ohtani. I also pulled Scherzer like 6 times. I am not exaggerating about his and I didn't buy thousands of packs. Once regular access started, these cards became very rare. I've pulled 100 times the amount of packs since then without one of those cards again. Seriously. The first 100 packs or so I pulled all the above cards. In thousands of packs since then , I have not pulled any of those cards once. So SDS can say whatever they want about pack odds and how they are consistent , etc but that's a bunch of BS.
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What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
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@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
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@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
Makes sense, figured that would ne the case. I've pulled two Trea Turners this year, obviously no high quality diamonds.
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@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
Makes sense, figured that would ne the case. I've pulled two Trea Turners this year, obviously no high quality diamonds.
Only DeGrom so far; Trea twice too. At least he brings back decent dough.
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@nygxnymxfan68_xbl said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
The first week . the early access week, I pulled DeGrom 5 times. Acuna and Tatis 2x each, Trout, and Ohtani. I also pulled Scherzer like 6 times. I am not exaggerating about his and I didn't buy thousands of packs. Once regular access started, these cards became very rare. I've pulled 100 times the amount of packs since then without one of those cards again. Seriously. The first 100 packs or so I pulled all the above cards. In thousands of packs since then , I have not pulled any of those cards once. So SDS can say whatever they want about pack odds and how they are consistent , etc but that's a bunch of BS.
I mean, I've had good luck too, but the odds are the odds. In 1:50 (and probably 1:100, 1:500, 1:1000) odds, weird things happen to some people. There are you and me, and there are people who haven't pulled a single low diamond all year.
The only manipulation occurring, I think, is SDS not advertising what the odds are for 90's and Trout.
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@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@yankblan_psn said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
@nflman2033_mlbts said in Pack Odds are more like Lottery Luck:
What I have wondered, and maybe someone knows, but we hear pack odds for diamonds. But not all diamonds are equal, so are the odds of pulling Trout the same as the odds of pulling Iglesias? Or are those high end diamonds even less likely to be pulled?
Higher are less likely to be pulled. Law requires them to display the odds, but not to be specific. They clearly make the distinction with choice packs with low, mid and high diamond tiers
Makes sense, figured that would ne the case. I've pulled two Trea Turners this year, obviously no high quality diamonds.
Only DeGrom so far; Trea twice too. At least he brings back decent dough.
Yeah, better than my first diamond pull this year, Muncy who dropped to gold a couple days later.
I've had Good luck really, also pulled Judge, Robert, Hader, Hendricks, and Perez, I've only had the game 2 weeks.
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Close to 500 packs opened so far and I’ve pulled Bieber twice and Muncy once. Shits broken.
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It is luck and I been lucky the last 2 years, I earn stubs and buy packs, I am three cards away this year, if flipping was better and was not boring this year I would not have been buying as many packs. I have pulled a lot of diamonds this year all I need is Trout, Ohtani and Vlad Jr, I was stupid but then again maybe not. I pulled Ohtani twice this year but sold him both times to complete the NL collection.
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