I see why packs are a joke to Buy
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Pack odds are horrendous in this game... save your stubs for collections and buying off of market.
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I buy 20 packs here and there, maybe once a week from stubs I make playing the different DD modes and programs. When all my commons and bronze are completed, I start putting buy orders and buy packs less often. After that I finish the easier/cheaper collections and buy July most diamonds are cheap except the usual 5-6 that are rare.
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I enjoy opening packs but my expectations are zero. I will not buy standard packs with stubs and have gotten to the point now where I won't buy any of the Headliners either.
I'm NMS and have pulled Kershaw, Buehler and DJ Lemahieu from free packs, so it's better than no diamonds at all.
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@moellers_xbl said in I see why packs are a joke to Buy:
They need to do what Hearthstone does and give people bad luck protection, if you don't get a diamond in 50 packs your odds go up. Well they don't need to but I would like it, lol.
I would get this all the time. I remember back some years, think it was 18, I went 330 packs with no diamonds. Yea, I kept track. This year I have over 500 TA, balling and show packs and have pulled 5 diamonds. Abreu, Seager, Bueler 2 and Bauer. All under 20k. Sad really. First time trying collections so early and already regretting it. Should have kept Brett and Seaver. Only good to get collections done if you can do it early enough to get an advantage. Won't be much of an advantage in several months if I can finish by then. Will need some 12 win BR runs.
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I only buy packs on launch day then never buy another pack the rest of the game's lifecycle.
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I'm up to around 250 free packs this year and I've pulled Rendon, Yelich and Hader. I would say 80% of all cards I pull are commons and bronze. I'm getting kind of friggin sick of it. Rendon & Yelich were within the first day of pre-launch, then hader about 2 weeks ago. No diamond in two weeks. I won't buy packs, EVER. They are a scam. Yet, a guy on my friend list has had 20+ pulls. I logged in two days ago and within the span of a few minutes, he pulled 2 Verlanders, Arenado and Judge. Then yesterday, he pulled 4 more diamonds. I mean, what in the literal F. I have common TY streamer on my friends list and he's always pulling diamonds too. I'm getting so sick of packs this year. I pulled over 50 last year but I can't get crapola this cycle.
I'm a bit OCD and I want to finish collections, but I can never pull good cards. Plus, playing games you get awarded with a whopping 5 stubs or so at the end. Kinda pathetic. They prey on people that have addictions to buy stubs. I spent money last year and regret it since I really never got any value out of it in my RS games. I sucked with Mickey (batted like .220) so all the extra funds put into the game to get him was a complete waste.
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Just for you I actually ran the numbers - you have a 98% chance of opening a pack and not seeing a diamond - which means in 200 packs you actually had a 1.76% chance of not seeing a diamond. I would say that you were rather unlucky here but not to the point of it being an absurdly uncommon occurrence. For comparison sake - the chances of rolling 2 six sided dice and having the result come up 9 twice in a row is 1.2%. Or rolling 8 twice is 1.9% - its rare but it happens.
For comparison sake somewhere between 34 packs and 35 packs is where your 50% chance of seeing a diamond and
It would take you between 339-340 packs to have a 99.9% likelihood of seeing a diamond -
I buy a headliner pack from time to time - Pulled Orel Hershiser
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Ive seen kids pull 2 trouts in a matter of 10 packs
But for me i cant even get a low tier diamond
I have physically had to grind market to pull over hundreds of thousands of stubs just to get some collection players
MLB just hates my guts -
Ive pulled around 40-45 diamonds from bundles, $150 on release night is the only money ive spent so far, so mainly just using stubs from grinding the market.past 4 days have been pretty slow though on pack luck but i expected it with how on fire i was for a while
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I haven’t pulled a diamond since April 22nd, it’s June 11th. The diamonds I pulled were Kershaw and Chapman. No packs will work; not team affinity, definitely not standard, I’ve probably opened 40 ballin is a habit packs, I haven’t even gotten a gold in headliners, (only opened like 10 of them). Starting to think I’m black listed or something.
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@namtrah22_psn said in I see why packs are a joke to Buy:
Buying packs is a recipe for disappointment... I used to love buying them but I'm now two years clean. SDS gives enough free packs you literally get hundreds of free packs just by playing there is no point to go buy them from the market. Do the smart thing and use stubs to buy diamond players you want. I'm NMS and am 5 teams away from finishing collections and I haven't pulled any diamond higher than 90+ besides Arenado in a BR run.
This is literally the best advice you can give to people who get so bummed out about packs. My rule for at least the past three games is that I only buy packs in the first 4-5 days when it's exciting to pull anything -- even silvers.
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I hear you. I went to a casino, it says they pay out 92.8%. I didn't win on my five pulls. Total scam.
Learn odds dude, stop buying packs if you don't like gambling.
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@namtrah22_psn said in I see why packs are a joke to Buy:
Buying packs is a recipe for disappointment... I used to love buying them but I'm now two years clean. SDS gives enough free packs you literally get hundreds of free packs just by playing there is no point to go buy them from the market. Do the smart thing and use stubs to buy diamond players you want. I'm NMS and am 5 teams away from finishing collections and I haven't pulled any diamond higher than 90+ besides Arenado in a BR run.
I love the 2 years clean line that's awesome and I doubt I will ever be able to say that. I personally love opening packs and this is a good time to do it considering many, hell almost all of these cards will not even come close to a lineup later in the year along with the fact that SDS just dumped a pile of really good cards from TA 2 on us you can sell off almost anyone if you need a fix and most likely ha E a descent replacement. For everyone who complains about not pulling diamonds keep buying they are out there and you will hit eventually and its 1 of the most fun parts of the game hitting those whales. If your strategy for acquiring cards needed is to gamble on packs good luck but dont cry about odds or complain about things being rigged nobody forced you and many warned against. As for me I hit top tier twice on the Sink 2 packs today I sold both and have just about spent it all on show packs fishing. Luckily I have 2 batches of TOPPS moments to do so I should be able to get my next fix on SDS
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packs are a joke, bought 50 last night barely scratched a 80 gold in all 50 packs, however i think they should abolish paying for anything but inside currency, im tired of playing these fools who literally bought every player they have with real money, 300 rating and every player you have is 98 come on, but feels great when they have all 98 players and i still win with mid 80s players
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Its simple coding if it's 1:50. system should reward you with 4 diamonds. Not hard to reward paying customer.
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i pulled trout on my very first pack of the season that i got with the Jackie Robinson edition...i sold him.....dumb i know but i did, This is my first year of DD and i had no idea how hard he was to pull. I then got close to the whole live series and saved and purchased him. Then i recently pulled him 2 times in 3 days out of TA and BisH packs. what can i say, i'm lucky. But i've literally spent 0$, and have quite the collection.
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Old thread I know but it’s here. 1-50 chance of pulling 99% chance that is 3x value of the pack. 1-10 chance of breaking even on the pack, possible slight loss. 44-50 chance of losing probably 50+% of the pack value.
Packs go in a cycle. First part can probably stay ahead of you grind and sell everything. Second part man these are bad but maybe I get lucky. 3rd part(where we are now) only reason they are available is there are no regulations on video game packs.
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@technoblue67_psn said in I see why packs are a joke to Buy:
Its simple coding if it's 1:50. system should reward you with 4 diamonds. Not hard to reward paying customer.
Nope, 1:50 per pack, not 1:50 out of a bundle of packs. Just don't buy packs, simple as that.