Community Forum

After watching this Vsauce video on youtube about the Newton-Pepys problem regarding dice rolling probabilities, I got to thinking about pack odds with pulling diamonds. So if you're hellbent on sinking 37,500 stubs down the toilet, you're better off buying 25 standard packs instead of the total 5 headliner packs available to each person.

Scenario A is like rolling five 11-sided dice (5 headliner packs with 1:10 odds of a diamond)
Solution: 1-(10/11)^5= 37.9% chance of pulling a diamond

Scenario B is like rolling twenty five 51-sided dice (25 standard packs with 1:50 odds of a diamond)
Solution: 1-(50/51)^25= 39% chance of pulling a diamond plus a gold or better card in the 20 bundle

The math is better explained in this Wikipedia article, but there is essentially a 1.1% higher chance of pulling at least a single diamond from 25 standard packs over 5 headliner packs

Hitting has been a random, inconsistent [censored] mess since the first patch

Starting pitchers can be brought in as relievers at any time now at preserved stamina, so it shouldn't be an issue seeing potential opposing lineups of all same handed hitting (with the opponent's dilemma of burning through their bench early on). I have an all switch hitting squad so I'm not really affected by the forced use of a single main lineup, but it would still be nice to start certain players higher or lower in the order depending on pitcher handedness.

I don't see the problem with having 2 default lineups that lock in pre-game (utilizing only the 13 position player pool in a 25 man roster). No backing out after the loading screen revealing both teams comes up

@DBBG1515 said in I have a feeling a Pack Promo is this weekend:

Headliners or beachball maybe. They’ve completely flooded the market with the fucks on the pond packs so nobody needs those anymore. Maybe they come up with a new one or even an elite tier for beachball?

How did you not get censored lol

I screwed up and waited until Halloween to place a 1mill order as #288, but I'm fairly optimistic about acquiring him before Xmas (sucks to be the guy who's currently #368 in line lol). A huge fan favorite like Chipper really should've been a Ruth or Robinson like program though, the vast majority of the player base will never get to use him. Best case scenario for us stub rich folk who aren't good enough to go 12-0 is only getting to enjoy Chipper during the very last legs of the game cycle

Save your "get gud" and "just go 12-0" comments, I don't wanna hear it

@lucas8181 said in check swings:

Use it against them, they are telling you what they are thinking when they do that. If they are constantly early and check swinging on off speed, throw your off speed in the strike zone. Problem fixed. I love it when people do that, easy K's until they adjust (which most of them can't do).

Until the off speed in the zone gets pulled "very early" for a cheap homer

I've barely played around 120 ranked games this year due to the horrid gameplay, but I find myself wanting to face live competition after periods of mundane CPU games\grinding. I'll periodically cave in and have fun winning a couple of games until that game arrives. The classic "scripted" match where it's lineout galore and diamond fielding errors for you... all while the opponent safely checks too early on every pitch, rinky dinks hits left and right with atrociously timed chased swings, and is given every break imaginable by the game. Even overcoming the blatant bias and beating those opponents comes with a sense of unsatisfying frustration, and I remember why I quit ranked in the first place even with a winning record.

If only 16\17's gameplay was combined with this year's content

Disappointing. They haven't fixed the 2 most glaring issues - the obscene number of successful "too early" check swings and "good squared up" outs

It gets old facing a batter who swings "too early" every pitch out of the zone, resulting in cheap walks or "very early" pulled hits on anything on the corners. Too early swingers should be penalized with way more strikes just like in 17 and before

I'm not a huge fan of paid drafting from a random pool to play RNG infested, do or die showdown moments and boss battles....especially with dead center PCI swings frequently not registering as perfect. I can't think of any good reason to completely scrap inning program moments when they could've been added alongside showdown

I made while at work, still thinking about the good ol' days of 16\17

All the content and variety of game modes etc. are just lipstick on a pig. None of it matters if the core gameplay, the most integral part of a sports title, just isn't good at all

@earvgotti_xbl said in One hitting change I’d like to see:

Discourages people from throwing low all game.

Those garbage hits reward and enable lack of plate discipline

@cardinals588 said in I see what you guys mean, this isn't baseball:

The hitting seems right on point this year. The game is pretty good.

Hitting is essentially 19's random outcomes that favors non-squared up contact, but with the addition of "perfect." Still too many lineouts/flyouts and chased/jammed bloop hits....and not to mention the obscene number of check swings that make "too early" swingers physically impossible to strike out.

20 is an improvement over 19, but far from on point

There could be a curveball setting, slider setting, etc like real pitching machines so we could practice tracking and thumb precision with PCI placement

IMO, the nastiest (non-knuckler) fictional pitcher would have:

-Jordan Hicks' 102+ sinker
-Kenley Jansen's 98 cutter
-Chaz Roe's 83 slider
-Fernando Rodney's 83 circle change
-Yu Darvish's 64 curveball

@eatyum said in 25 standard packs > 5 headliners. Here's why:

@jz2016cubs said in 25 standard packs > 5 headliners. Here's why:

Me, with not enough stubs for either: UGHHH...
Question: Are you guaranteed at least one diamond for 50 standard packs? Or is that just maybe? I would think you would get 2 or more diamonds if you buy 50 packs.

The odds are based on the entire user base, so you are not guaranteed a diamond in 50 packs.

Think of it like this, if I pull 2 diamonds in 50 packs, and you pull no diamonds in 50 packs, the overall odds are still 1:50 because it's based on everybody, not per user.

Fun fact: there is a higher chance of pulling a diamond in 51 packs than pulling 2 diamonds in 102 packs. That's another takeaway from that Newton problem

@raesONE said in 2 preset lineups vs LHP\RHP:

Or you can learn to hit same handedness and this will never be an issue again.

I can hit same handed, but there's no point in putting myself at a disadvantage against elite pitching just for the sake of it

@Hikes83 said in 2 preset lineups vs LHP\RHP:

I can just see it happening. Multiple people putting 5 lefties in the lineup with 3 switch hitters and then 5 righties on the bench and vice versa. How is that fun? There’s zero strategy in that.

The only thing I could see where this would be great is where a batter has terrible splits. Like that 85 Braun for example

Simple, bring in a different handed starting pitcher(s) in relief and see how quickly opponents will burn through their bench. That's their problem if they struggle to hit same handed and with 0 players left on the bench

SDS has to bail out undisciplined pull hitter$ to prevent them from quitting this game