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Uninstalled, then reinstalled. Getting xp now and both my franchise and RTTS are still there.

I have all collections completed except the July Lightning, all programs completed, all affinity programs completed through the November voucher and have 155K stubs. I don't do the card market nor multiplayer, just grinding. How are the rest of you doing?

Same here. Paid $100 and only got the early entry

So on the heels of a Glitch Scandal and rampant cheating, SDS release an Extreme Showdown where the average player who doesn't use a cheat code will probably not be able to score 15 runs against HOF. I don't think those with the cheat code will have a problem. So here I am grinding away, not glitching, not cheating, one card away from the live series and 4 sets away from finishing the collections and SDS releases a card I will probably never own. Thank you SDS... much appreciated. Hope the cheat code gang has fun with him.

Go with the series that sells for the most money. Usually that would be a series that is newer. Always take the card that is worth the most in resale, even if you already have that card. You can resell it and then buy a card you need while still having cash left over.

Update - April Stats in....

718 The Show packs opened, expected diamond pulled with 2% odds is 14-15 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 13. The odds of getting 13 or fewer diamonds is 40.77%. Slightly lower than advertised odds. This results is within norms.

157 Ballin packs opened, expected diamond pulled with 6.7% odds is 10.5 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 11. The odds of getting 11 or fewer diamonds is 61.5%. Slightly higher than advertised odds. This results is within norms.

Year to Date stats
249 Ballin packs opened, expected diamond pulled with 6.7% odds is 16.7 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 16. The odds of getting 16 or fewer diamonds is 47.7%. Slightly lower than odds advertised. This results is within norms.

1303 The Show packs opened, expected diamond pulled with 2% odds is 26 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 22. The odds of getting 22 or fewer diamonds is 24.0%. This result is lower than average, but not extreme.

I am debating on expanding to find the expected stub gain from opening certain packs. I did a mini study with about 40 the show packs. The average stub gain per pack from those 40 packs was 333 stubs/pack. Well below the 1,500 stub cost of a pack.

@rosborn27 He did you a favor. Boggs just needs to get on base.

Nope, You are confused. While the opening of each pack is an independent event (meaning every time I open an individual pack the odds of getting a diamond in that pack is 1/50), the probability of getting a diamond in a pack does increase with repeated attempts. As you correctly stated, we are talking about probability

This happened to me a couple years ago. Just unlucky. I do think the developers found a way to give streamers better odds though. I saw one streamer open up 10 basic packs and he hit on three diamond players in the first 5 packs he opened.

Lets see if this works. The probability of pulling a diamond when you open a single pack as 2%, the probability of pulling a single diamond when you open 148 packs is 95%

So the Affinity reward for Giants fans is a prospect Joey Bart card??? He’s not even a Giant any more. C’mon SDS, put a little effort in!!!

Barry Bonds? lol

It does definitely feel like this years version is more about making a buck than customer experience

Had incredible luck yesterday including pulling Ohtani. My best first weekend ever

I am not an elite player...in my 60's.. beat this on my 2nd try. Strategy...
Goal 1.) Play the two All Star games 1st, then the 6 HOF, finally the 2 legend. This will let you get used to the timing of the pitches and not have to switch back an forth between the levels.
Goal 2.) Steal fans from the last team you must face on turn 2. This will guarantee that you play all the remaining games on All Star or lower levels.
Optional - Stealing after turn2.. It will let you play games on veteran, but losing will make it tougher.

Team make up - Speed/contact with contact/power mixed in. Being able to steal 2nd and 3rd on legend is a must. Have SPEED on the bench

1976 Mark Fidrych

just had it happen to me after 17 games of the mini season. Don't want to restart, but I am at a standstill. Thanks SDS

I have now gone 10 straight days without having a single diamond drop in a show pack. It makes it worse that I have almost exclusively played the conquest where your repeatable reward are 5 show packs.. I swear I must have opened at least 200 show packs and the only diamond drop was included in the packs i got with my digital deluxe package that I opened right after the game was live

I did the math, and with the average chance of winning the pack through my 4 attempts being 76.5%, there is only a 4% chance that I would only win the pack one time. So either I am extremely unlucky, or SDS is lying. I am going to make one more run and see what the results are.

@dap1234567890 said in NO diamond drops!!!:

@coachpappy17_psn said in NO diamond drops!!!:

@savefarris_psn said in NO diamond drops!!!:

“Siri, how do odds work?”

With a Masters degree I am pretty sure I know how odds work. The odds of opening 148 straight packs without getting a diamond pull is very low if the advertised odds of the show pack is 1/50. Either I am extremely unlucky, or there is a bug in the game, or the advertised odds are not actuality.

Apparently your Master's Degree doesn't work! Also, thinking you have a Master's Degree makes you smart is actually pretty dumb!

You are confusing "probability" and "odds"! Specifically you are thinking of theoretical probability when you are looking at pack odds and not realizing the difference between the terms. Pack odds are the same for each pack individually and is not affected by the number of packs you open.

your terms may be correct, but you should have also pointed out that the "probability" of getting at least 1 diamond when opening 148 packs is about 95%. So the odds/probability of not opening a pack in 148 attempts is 1/20