July Totals
677 The Show packs opened in July, expected diamonds pulled with 2% odds is 13.54 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 15. Getting 15 or fewer diamonds lands at the 70.00 percentile. This success rate is entirely consistent with random chance and would not be considered unusual. Added note, during the month I went over 200 show pack opening in a row without getting a diamond. This was offset by a hot streak where I pulled 8 diamonds in 124 packs.
106 The Ballin packs opened in July, expected diamonds pulled with 6.7% odds is 7.10 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 7. The odds of getting 7 or fewer diamonds lies at about the 56.2 percentile. 7 successes is one of the most typical outcomes you could observe.
Overall Totals
3342 The Show packs opened this year, expected diamonds pulled with 2% odds is 66.84 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 65. Getting 65 or fewer diamonds lands at the 43.4 percentile. A result this close to the mean is entirely typical. It provides no statistical evidence that the true success rate differs from 2%; it falls well within the normal variation you'd expect from random chance.
582 The Ballin packs opened this year, expected diamonds pulled with 6.7% odds is 38.99 diamonds. Actual diamonds pulled was 35. The odds of getting 35 or fewer diamonds lies at about the 28.00 percentile. A result with a probability around 28% is not statistically unusual and is well within the range of normal random variation if the true success probability is 6.7%.