Pack odds
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At this point the pack odds mean absolutely nothing to me. I opened 100 the show packs and 15 ballin is a habit packs just to pull one diamond which was gerrit cole…. I opened 7 may spotlight packs just to pull low tier diamonds in all of them. Never have I once come close to pulling a chase card or anything worth anything. I feel cursed
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Not cursed. It’s the norm this year to pull nothing as the odds have been heavily skewed due to over saturation of low tier diamonds from all card series. The result is the odds of pulling a high diamond are slim to none.
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I've been stupid lucky this year even if I haven't pulled ohtani or judge but previous years I've had awful luck. It must be something about my lifestyle and when I open packs lol
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I just opened 382 packs. I saved all my 3rd inning packs for today. 4 jerseys and Hader. That is it. I think I’m going to save all packs until November when it’s 1:8. It’s really burning my enjoyment of the game.
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@Cam8w_MLBTS at least you’re admitting to not understanding how odds work. Most of these posts about pack odds get weird. At least you know that odds don’t mean anything to you, but in short, it’s just the expected outcome percentages, not a prediction or guarantee of what you’ll get in that many packs.
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They can claim any odds they want. Doesn't mean its true. I feel like they are even lower then what they claim them to be.
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@splattz35_PSN said in Pack odds:
They can claim any odds they want. Doesn't mean its true. I feel like they are even lower then what they claim them to be.
Do you realize that would be illegal? Do you really think a company as huge as Sony, with its thousands of lawyers, are going to risk a gigantic lawsuit just to make sure a few less people pull a diamond from a show pack?
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@Pergo_MLBTS Feelings are more important than facts.
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@Pergo_MLBTS said in Pack odds:
@splattz35_PSN said in Pack odds:
They can claim any odds they want. Doesn't mean its true. I feel like they are even lower then what they claim them to be.
Do you realize that would be illegal? Do you really think a company as huge as Sony, with its thousands of lawyers, are going to risk a gigantic lawsuit just to make sure a few less people pull a diamond from a show pack?
I am really happy that someone here realizes that. I roll my eyes every time someone says the pack odds are a lie.
That is just a huge risk I can't see them taking
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Of course they can manipulate the numbers. Sometimes they manipulate the odds so that’s it’s easier to pull than what’s described and sometimes they make it harder than what’s described. In casinos, slot machine technicians essentially do the same thing depending on the request of the casino but are still staying compliant within state laws. To think just because odds “say” something that they can’t go in and make it very tough or very easy is dull minded and you aren’t thinking outside the box. Sony is running a business and that is their model
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@Dolenz_PSN said in Pack odds:
@Pergo_MLBTS said in Pack odds:
@splattz35_PSN said in Pack odds:
They can claim any odds they want. Doesn't mean its true. I feel like they are even lower then what they claim them to be.
Do you realize that would be illegal? Do you really think a company as huge as Sony, with its thousands of lawyers, are going to risk a gigantic lawsuit just to make sure a few less people pull a diamond from a show pack?
I am really happy that someone here realizes that. I roll my eyes every time someone says the pack odds are a lie.
That is just a huge risk I can't see them taking
absolutely … everything else is superstition
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I pulled a Blue right fielder yesterday from my first pack! I only need Judge and Witt to finish LS. But Tatis would have been fine. Nope, pipeline past Renfroe, goes for under 7k.
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Mine was blue 3B when I still needed Ramirez and it was Glaus for 7K. Ultimate troll job and classic example of how getting the top diamonds is nearly impossible. Even more cheap diamonds have flooded the market and tanked already long odds.
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There is no way to prove or disprove odds being accurate but let's assume the odds are legit. It does seem incredibly rare to pull anything worth while this year. I will occasionally keep track when I'm opening a large amount of earned packs and even the majority of Golds you pull are 80s worth no more than the quick sell. The Diamonds are almost always low level garbage. I've pulled Easter Egg Sean Hjelle 5x Easter Egg Joe Torre 4x they net less than some 84 golds. Then a bunch of 85 Diamond dupes that sell for maybe 3500. So the odds may not be a lie but the odds of landing something great are very very low.
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@Dolenz_PSN said in Pack odds:
@Pergo_MLBTS said in Pack odds:
@splattz35_PSN said in Pack odds:
They can claim any odds they want. Doesn't mean its true. I feel like they are even lower then what they claim them to be.
Do you realize that would be illegal? Do you really think a company as huge as Sony, with its thousands of lawyers, are going to risk a gigantic lawsuit just to make sure a few less people pull a diamond from a show pack?
I am really happy that someone here realizes that. I roll my eyes every time someone says the pack odds are a lie.
That is just a huge risk I can't see them taking
There is always the risk of a coding error, but the chances of Sony trying to scam people with odds different than listed intentionally is 0%.
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Love to see all the usual SDS [censored] kissers make excuses on literally every post in this forum. Do they pay yall?
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They've definitely nerfed what you can pull by including choice pack awards in regular packs and they've used the stat updates to flood more low cost diamonds. It was way more rewarding early on for packs but that's common every year. Pack odds of pulling diamonds isn't bad though
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Something definitely changes in the coding for pack odds once we get to November and beyond. I noticed it dramatically w/ '24 after the WS. I was able to pull decent diamonds in regular packs about 1:10-1:15 ratio...and that's not fabricated. (And feel free to correct me if they actually increase diamond odds in the Shop come November and I didn't look closely enough at the fine print.)
I'm sick of the defending of SDS on this as well, because there is definitely something skewed just beyond the grey line of the unknown. We'll of course never know and continue to speculate, but when Bobby Witt Jr is the only decent pull I've received since March, I find myself siding with the frustrated majority.
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@GoldenGamingKM_PSN said in Pack odds:
Something definitely changes in the coding for pack odds once we get to November and beyond. I noticed it dramatically w/ '24 after the WS. I was able to pull decent diamonds in regular packs about 1:10-1:15 ratio...and that's not fabricated. (And feel free to correct me if they actually increase diamond odds in the Shop come November and I didn't look closely enough at the fine print.)
I'm sick of the defending of SDS on this as well, because there is definitely something skewed just beyond the grey line of the unknown. We'll of course never know and continue to speculate, but when Bobby Witt Jr is the only decent pull I've received since March, I find myself siding with the frustrated majority.
I mean, the odds for every card are posted. Nothing is a secret.
Its possible the high diamond odds are lower this year (I have no idea what they were in the past), but to claim SDS is manipulating the odds makes you look like a tin foil hat idiot.Nobody is defending SDS, people are just calling out that the tinfoil hat nonsense is just that: nonsense.
And yes they changed diamond from 1:50 to 1:8 for the forever season last year.
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@Dirty-Dowdy_XBL feels like a pay to win pay to play...think I'm done
