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Pack luck / odds

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Diamond Dynasty
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  • pvtkrispy_XBLP Offline
    pvtkrispy_XBLP Offline
    pvtkrispy_XBL
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    I have ripped at least 150-200+ packs in the last week and a half and haven’t pulled one diamond. With the majority of the packs being The Show Packs, it’s insane that the 1:40 odds of a diamond seems inexplicably false. Anyone else in a drought???

    TripleH-4481_PSNT Tylerslikewhoa_XBLT 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • TripleH-4481_PSNT Offline
    TripleH-4481_PSNT Offline
    TripleH-4481_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by TripleH-4481_PSN
    #2

    @pvtkrispy

    Yep I have only pulled low diamonds all year and very few at that. With no way to prove otherwise it wouldn’t be that far fetched for them to juice packs at launch to hype the game and then drop them off a cliff to make sure the market doesn’t get flooded with high end rare cards. Up to this point it’s the worst pack luck I’ve had in 5 years.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ballneverlie_XBLB Offline
    ballneverlie_XBLB Offline
    ballneverlie_XBL
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    I pulled 3-4 diamonds today and yesterday. Crazy enough, I pulled Matt shaw and cole in the same headliner pack today. Dang near fell out of my seat

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • b00std_mark_II_PSNB Offline
    b00std_mark_II_PSNB Offline
    b00std_mark_II_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #4

    Its very weird for years now I have had terrible luck all the time but randomly ill have like 3-4 diamonds pop up in like 5-10 packs maybe once a month or 2..The worst odds have to be ballin is a habit i have gotten 1 diamond in id bet 60-80 packs

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • xXcGilmer18Xx_XBLX Offline
    xXcGilmer18Xx_XBLX Offline
    xXcGilmer18Xx_XBL
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    I have pulled 2 diamonds all year. Pack odds are atrocious.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • GixxerRyder750_PSNG Offline
    GixxerRyder750_PSNG Offline
    GixxerRyder750_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #6

    Doesn't matter if you rip 1 pack or 1 Million. You're odds are the same for each pack. You may have bad luck and can't pull anything, but the number of packs you open doesn't increase your odds of pulling a diamond.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Tylerslikewhoa_XBLT Offline
    Tylerslikewhoa_XBLT Offline
    Tylerslikewhoa_XBL
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #7

    @pvtkrispy said in Pack luck / odds:

    I have ripped at least 150-200+ packs in the last week and a half and haven’t pulled one diamond. With the majority of the packs being The Show Packs, it’s insane that the 1:40 odds of a diamond seems inexplicably false. Anyone else in a drought???

    That’s because it’s 1:50 odds.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • sbchamps17_NSWS Online
    sbchamps17_NSWS Online
    sbchamps17_NSW
    wrote on last edited by
    #8

    I pulled yordan alveraz and sold him for 90K just because I'm not interested in doing the live series collection right now. Also pulled mickey Mantle but kept him because he's not worth much, but otherwise that's all the pack luck I got so far

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • SaveFarris_PSNS Offline
    SaveFarris_PSNS Offline
    SaveFarris_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    Pack Results 33 Days in:

    2024 (4/16): 18 Diamonds in 454 packs (3.9%)
    2023 (4/23): 12 out of 322 (3.7%)
    2022 (5/2): 4 out 0f 258 (1.5%)
    2021 (5/17): 9 out of 162 (5.5%)

    It seems like there's less diamonds because you're opening more packs, and thus experiencing failure that many more times.

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    0
  • Ledfoot_19_PSNL Offline
    Ledfoot_19_PSNL Offline
    Ledfoot_19_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #10

    This is by far my worst year for luck. I've ripped through all the programs (Doing TA2 now) a full mini season and 7 conquest maps. That's a lot of regular packs, Ballin packs, and headliners.....I've pulled a Bobby Witt and a Snell......that's it.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • XxDeathReyxX_PSNX Offline
    XxDeathReyxX_PSNX Offline
    XxDeathReyxX_PSN
    wrote on last edited by XxDeathReyxX_PSN
    #11

    I only rip the free reward packs and I think I’ve pulled 6 so far. Nothing high end. Ramirez x2, deGrom, Castillo, Soto and one more lower end I am blanking on.

    ETA: Vlad Jr

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • yankblan_PSNY Offline
    yankblan_PSNY Offline
    yankblan_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #12

    I've packed Trout, Ohtani and many Headliners. Yesterday (or Sunday?) Got Thome and Alonso.

    Like clockwork, we get these conspiracy posts about odds, hitting being nerfed AND pitching being too random, updates changing hitting, [insert year] is the worst ever, and so on.

    1 Reply Last reply
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