More Free Packs=Lower Odds
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@formallyforearms said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
I'm currently saving all my earned packs to open at once. I've got around 60 with 5 BiaH packs, the headliner, and mostly regular/TA packs.
I'm planning on opening everything together with Conquest/other 4th Inning rewards.
I still fully expect to get 0-1 diamonds, lol.
I am stocking up the Team Affinity Packs for a massive opening (I currently have 12 haha)
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FYI...at a 2% probability, you have a 1% chance of opening 228 packs and not getting a diamond.
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I'm curious how many pages of packs did you have to go through? I'm not sure I'm willing to go through 149 pages.. lol @davisonkj17
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@MathMan5072 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
FYI...at a 2% probability, you have a 1% chance of opening 228 packs and not getting a diamond.
My maths work as such, 60% of the time it fails every time.
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@niatstihs86 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@MathMan5072 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
FYI...at a 2% probability, you have a 1% chance of opening 228 packs and not getting a diamond.
My maths work as such, 60% of the time it fails every time.
That’s right
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@MathMan5072 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@niatstihs86 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@MathMan5072 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
FYI...at a 2% probability, you have a 1% chance of opening 228 packs and not getting a diamond.
My maths work as such, 60% of the time it fails every time.
That’s right
First right answer I have had in math in awhile. I kept getting sad face grades for math in school.
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@davisonkj17 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@GixxerRyder750 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
Silver Player Packs only offer 1 card, but you've got 104 pulled out of 89 Packs?
not silver player packs (Headliners) which have been renamed SilverLiners
Ahh. Gotcha
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@MrGamebred said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
I'm curious how many pages of packs did you have to go through? I'm not sure I'm willing to go through 149 pages.. lol @davisonkj17
I had about 60-70 pages
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Where is this info on TSN
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I pulled Bellinger this weekend from a free daily double pack
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@MaxHarvest said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
Where is this info on TSN
Click on your dashboard, Click Inventory, then Click Open Pack History
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I had 6 BIAH packs,(A 5 bundle from Prestiege 15) 1 from BOS TA. I also had 6 TA packs. BIAH 2 diamonds Judge, Rendon, 6 TA packs 2 gold, Rizzo, Madbum, and 1 Diamond Chapman
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Is this another thread where people don't understand how odds work?
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@maskedgrappler said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
Is this another thread where people don't understand how odds work?
Everyone assumes it's packs "they open".
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@niatstihs86 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@formallyforearms said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@niatstihs86 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@formallyforearms said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
I'm currently saving all my earned packs to open at once. I've got around 60 with 5 BiaH packs, the headliner, and mostly regular/TA packs.
I'm planning on opening everything together with Conquest/other 4th Inning rewards.
I still fully expect to get 0-1 diamonds, lol.
Yeah hope you have better luck than me. Good luck.
I did similarly last inning, but had around half of the regular/TA packs you stated. I pulled 0 diamonds. Pack luck is certainly not on my side with this game, lol.
I've said plenty of times before, but I opened and recorded over 10,000 packs on 18, and never pulled Trout. 30 LS diamonds, and 13 flashback/legends. 0.43% diamond player pull rate. So I would say with certainty that I have miserable pack luck
Well I will grind out more packs and open them up. At least we can see who has the worst pack luck this year.....might be a good thread lol
So I ended up opening my stockpile of reward packs:
43 regular packs
54 Team Affinity packs
6 Silver Player packs
1 Headliner
1 Gold Player pack
8 Ballin is a Habit packsResults:
33 Silver players
19 Gold players
1 KershawSafe to say my pack luck hasn't improved
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I have 292 pages of pack openings
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I’ve been told by mathematicians from Walmart who need a calculator to break a 20 that 1:50 odds does not mean you should get a diamond roughly every 50 packs it anywhere close to it.
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1:50 odds means you have a 2% chance to pull a diamond in any single pack. Its not hard.
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@davisonkj17 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@GixxerRyder750 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
Silver Player Packs only offer 1 card, but you've got 104 pulled out of 89 Packs?
not silver player packs (Headliners) which have been renamed SilverLiners
Headliners offer 1 in 10 diamond, so 9 out of 89 is right there. You’ve had better headliner luck than most.
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@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
I’ve been told by mathematicians from Walmart who need a calculator to break a 20 that 1:50 odds does not mean you should get a diamond roughly every 50 packs it anywhere close to it.
Who is saying that I am expecting a diamond every 50 packs? I just for once, would like to open 2-3 in a stretch of 50 though. I haven't ever gotten anywhere near that.
Since I opened 10,000 packs and got a diamond player every 0.43% of packs, I feel that my "pack luck" is awful. Someone is getting those 4/5 diamonds :50 packs to make up for my .5 out of 50 packs. Would be nice to be on the plus side just once.
