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Pack Palooza Pack Odds

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Diamond Dynasty
66 Posts 16 Posters 1.9k Views
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  • ApolloZ_99_MLBTSA Offline
    ApolloZ_99_MLBTSA Offline
    ApolloZ_99_MLBTS
    wrote last edited by
    #54

    Guess this will go all year

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by JenkinMeyer_PSN
    #55

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him

    There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.

    Yeah man you’re reaching

    How? I am literally using the exact same logic that you are. Does that mean you are reaching? Do you even realize how easily you just walked right in to that one?

    You’re speaking for the extreme outliers. The successes. It’s not that our logic is different at all

    You are so close to finally getting it. You're also speaking of the extreme outliers. The failures.

    And if our logic is not different at all, and you say I am reaching, then that means you are also reaching.

    Yep reached for another beer. Odds are you’ll do the same

    What’d you mean by outliers the failures? Do you understand what an outlier is?

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #56

    @ApolloZ_99_MLBTS said:

    Guess this will go all year

    Oh for sure. The conspiracies have been going for years. No stopping now!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • JDHalfrack_PSNJ Offline
    JDHalfrack_PSNJ Offline
    JDHalfrack_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #57

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him. As a matter of fact, summon them all I’d like to hear from them

    I have stated multiple times I have opened judge twice and Ohtani. In fact, I have opened nearly every high LS diamond this year. I only ended up having to buy judge to finish because I kept selling the diamonds to complete non LS collections.

    I have had INSANE luck this year. But, I’m also smart enough to realize this is luck, and the odds are still just 2%.

    Also, we’re still arguing the wrong thing here, and it’s again proving my point: high diamonds and low diamonds are still diamonds. Too many people crab about not getting diamonds but they mean “not getting high diamonds”, which is not a 2% chance. It’s much much smaller.

    I also find it so fascinating that when someone brings up the better than expected odds, you all preach “those are outliers!!!”. So are the supposed results you’re getting if we want to play that game.

    It may seem like having bad luck isn’t an outlier, but it is in the long run. I don’t care how many people continue to crab on this forum, it’s always a small small small percentage of the player base. So, if what you’re saying is true, you’re the outlier. And the person pulling multiple ohtanis is the outlier on the other side.

    Most people are pulling at about 1.5 to 2.5%. But they aren’t the ones who are going to come here and post “hey, I got the expected odds!”.

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #58

    @JDHalfrack_PSN said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him. As a matter of fact, summon them all I’d like to hear from them

    I have stated multiple times I have opened judge twice and Ohtani. In fact, I have opened nearly every high LS diamond this year. I only ended up having to buy judge to finish because I kept selling the diamonds to complete non LS collections.

    I have had INSANE luck this year. But, I’m also smart enough to realize this is luck, and the odds are still just 2%.

    Also, we’re still arguing the wrong thing here, and it’s again proving my point: high diamonds and low diamonds are still diamonds. Too many people crab about not getting diamonds but they mean “not getting high diamonds”, which is not a 2% chance. It’s much much smaller.

    I also find it so fascinating that when someone brings up the better than expected odds, you all preach “those are outliers!!!”. So are the supposed results you’re getting if we want to play that game.

    It may seem like having bad luck isn’t an outlier, but it is in the long run. I don’t care how many people continue to crab on this forum, it’s always a small small small percentage of the player base. So, if what you’re saying is true, you’re the outlier. And the person pulling multiple ohtanis is the outlier on the other side.

    Most people are pulling at about 1.5 to 2.5%. But they aren’t the ones who are going to come here and post “hey, I got the expected odds!”.

    EXACTLY!

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    wrote last edited by
    #59

    Alright, guess I’m wrong then. You’re the freakin outlier you’re one dude. Or two.

    No data to really argue. I lose

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTS
    wrote last edited by
    #60

    Ok then we can all agree for the amount of work we all put into this game the odds are way way way way too low.

    Pergo_MLBTSP JenkinMeyer_PSNJ 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #61

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS said:

    Ok then we can all agree for the amount of work we all put into this game the odds are way way way way too low.

    Yes, the odds suck. They very clearly tell us that the odds suck. No conspiracy necessary.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by JenkinMeyer_PSN
    #62

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS said:

    Ok then we can all agree for the amount of work we all put into this game the odds are way way way way too low.

    Yeah pretty much. But it’s still fun, just got to use my new Carlton and threw 8 innings until a mistake. It’s fun down here in the 300’s - my own skill level

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • JDHalfrack_PSNJ Offline
    JDHalfrack_PSNJ Offline
    JDHalfrack_PSN
    wrote last edited by
    #63

    For free, no pack odds are too low. But yes, I understand the sentiment.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • FatKidzLag3617_XBLF Online
    FatKidzLag3617_XBLF Online
    FatKidzLag3617_XBL
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #64

    @Pergo_MLBTS a conspiracy theory to believe that humans are corrupt? They have no proof that the odds truly are 1:50 but we supposed to just believe them? I don't even think the problem is not getting diamonds. The real scam is that they can't even give you at the very least a guaranteed silver card?!?!? I made a post on here right after update 6 where I posted exactly what I got from 55 show packs. I can't remember exactly but I think I got 0 diamonds, 11 golds, 14 silvers. It hasn't gotten any better. We just on here talking about our experiences and you come in here to what? Tell people they are dumb? Get a life and quit worrying about other people. Worry about yourself.

    Ditka06 _MLBTSD 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Ditka06 _MLBTS
    #65

    @FatKidzLag3617_XBL right ✅️. They believe exactly what the company tells them. Mind you the same company has lied in the recent past, shrinkage for example. The same exact company that everyone agrees has become greedy over the years. But this is where they take their stand. Oh no they cannot manipulate packs. Oh no no no.

    FatKidzLag3617_XBLF 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • FatKidzLag3617_XBLF Online
    FatKidzLag3617_XBLF Online
    FatKidzLag3617_XBL
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #66

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS He is on here for one reason and one reason only. He on here to brag about his "2 judge, and 1 ohtani pulls" and tell us we dumb. That's cool man this post isn't for you then. Go find one with other SDS fanboys and talk all the [censored] you want. It's truly pathetic that he has all those good cards and instead of playing with them he on here starting arguments. Can't enjoy his good fortune so he gotta bring others down. He probably a cheater also. He fits the mold.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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