Pack Palooza Pack Odds
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Until any of you literally go out and count every pack you’ve opened and get the exact amount of diamonds that you earned, all of this is just people who are mad about their pack luck. The odds are stated, and for everyone of of you that feels they need to make a comment about the odds because they don’t get what they wanted, there’s another person who has had great luck and just doesn’t post about it.
In fact, I think there was somebody in the forums keeping track of all of their packs literally throughout the season and they have opened just about one diamond for every 50 standard packs they’ve opened.
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Until any of you literally go out and count every pack you’ve opened and get the exact amount of diamonds that you earned, all of this is just people who are mad about their pack luck. The odds are stated, and for everyone of of you that feels they need to make a comment about the odds because they don’t get what they wanted, there’s another person who has had great luck and just doesn’t post about it.
In fact, I think there was somebody in the forums keeping track of all of their packs literally throughout the season and they have opened just about one diamond for every 50 standard packs they’ve opened
And in that 50th they probably pulled the same 85 they always do.
I made a spreadsheet once on a big pack opening once, then I realized I’m supposed to be playing baseball but the stubs do help to be able to buy players you want
We all know how odds work it’s a sore beaten to death argument to be sure
Having said that I’ve seen too many CONSISTENT players which makes me question whatever
3 of the same gold in back to back to back?
I’d understand this if you buy a skid of baseball cards, repeats happen a lot per Box
But this digital thing is weird
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Quality of card vs type of card are not the same thing though. A lot of the complaints people make when they say “we’ve never gotten a diamond” are reallly from people that mean “I’ve never gotten a diamond worth more than 3000 gold”. The odds of pulling a diamond ARE in fact 2%. The odds of pulling Ohtani were something like 1 out of 20000. All of those individual odds are listed too.
As far as pulling the same card out of specialty packs (the other conspiracy everyone likes to get in on), that’s usually because the odds of pulling that card are the highest in a pack where there’s only 15ish cards or so.
I know, I’m frowned on for actually stating this, but there has never been a story about pack odds on this forum that has lead me to believe “hmmm pack odds must be wrong”. Most stories are just hyperbole or from people who didn’t have good middle school math teachers.
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@JDHalfrack_PSN so you just blindly believe what you are told? You dont see them manipulating odds at all you just trust it? You do not think its even a slight possibility a company can manipulate odds throughout a course of a year? Casino odds always favor the house and they manipulate sports betting odds all the time. Do you also believe our government spends our tax money correctly, or whatever a politician says to be true. Id love to be as nieve as you. Thats not real life brother.
There are two types of people in this world. Those that guestion things at times and those that do not. Sometimes called yes men or sheep. Since you want to talk smack about math and math teachers etc. I can talk smack right back to you.
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Quality of card vs type of card are not the same thing though. A lot of the complaints people make when they say “we’ve never gotten a diamond” are reallly from people that mean “I’ve never gotten a diamond worth more than 3000 gold”. The odds of pulling a diamond ARE in fact 2%. The odds of pulling Ohtani were something like 1 out of 20000. All of those individual odds are listed too.
As far as pulling the same card out of specialty packs (the other conspiracy everyone likes to get in on), that’s usually because the odds of pulling that card are the highest in a pack where there’s only 15ish cards or so.
I know, I’m frowned on for actually stating this, but there has never been a story about pack odds on this forum that has lead me to believe “hmmm pack odds must be wrong”. Most stories are just hyperbole or from people who didn’t have good middle school math teachers.
I had an incredible middle school math teacher. Probably why I’m bitching.
Math don’t math
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@JDHalfrack_PSN so you just blindly believe what you are told? You dont see them manipulating odds at all you just trust it? You do not think its even a slight possibility a company can manipulate odds throughout a course of a year? Casino odds always favor the house and they manipulate sports betting odds all the time. Do you also believe our government spends our tax money correctly, or whatever a politician says to be true. Id love to be as nieve as you. Thats not real life brother.
There are two types of people in this world. Those that guestion things at times and those that do not. Sometimes called yes men or sheep. Since you want to talk smack about math and math teachers etc. I can talk smack right back to you.
Blindly believing everything is a conspiracy theory isn't any better. You're a sheep to, just a different kind.
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@Pergo_MLBTS i do not blindly believe everything is a conspiracy theory. What im seeing and what several other people are saying on here, enough people to make you think... about their pack openings is making me believe something is up. Im not just talking out of my a s s
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS Only listening to opinions that match what you want to be true and ignoring everything else is pretty much the definition of talking out of your a s s.
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@Pergo_MLBTS im doing my own counts. Im on pack 226 without a live series diamond pull. Im on bah pack 100 with only a single diamond pull. Math isnt mathing.
Btw this has happened several times this year. 100s of packs without a live series diamond. Same with Bah packs.
Are you calling me a liar. Ive kept count several times this year.
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better then advertised. But thats now how odds work.
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
Now, I do know that just because two of us agree doesn’t shove math up your patoot
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
He’s not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences
Sometimes the math just doesn’t add up and with SDS track record you resort to looking into it, or at least imagining they may have effed up somewhere in their code
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences
So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences
So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?
Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him. As a matter of fact, summon them all I’d like to hear from them
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences
So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?
Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him
There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences
So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?
Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him
There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.
Yeah man you’re reaching
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences
So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?
Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him
There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.
Yeah man you’re reaching
How? I am literally using the exact same logic that you are. Does that mean you are reaching? Do you even realize how easily you just walked right in to that one?
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Yeah, this is pretty bad. I was expecting a W of some kind with this program… instead I’m just getting multiples of the lower tiers I already have.
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.
Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences
So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?
Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him
There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.
Yeah man you’re reaching
How? I am literally using the exact same logic that you are. Does that mean you are reaching? Do you even realize how easily you just walked right in to that one?
You’re speaking for the extreme outliers. The successes. It’s not that our logic is different at all
It’s about results. I’m speaking out of my [censored] as I have no data to prove it so I guess I’ll just shut up
