Pack Palooza Pack Odds
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I kid you not im counting i just opened up my 226th show pack in a row without a live series diamond at the end. This seems to be very normal this year. Maybe my luck is just trash. Because this year is the first year I can open up 100s of pack without seeing a live series diamond. These show packs are absolutely worthless. And they say bah packs are 1 in 15. Ive pulled one diamond out of my last 100 bah packs. Something doesnt seem right. These packs are so bad! I dont even care about them anymore at this point.
You would think the odds would even out for me at some point. Where I maybe get a few live series pulls in a row after a while. Or at least closer together. It never happens. Variance has to happen at some point, but it never does.
Earlier this year I got up to about 200 packs before pulling a Juan Soto. The streamers seem to pull Ohtani every two of three packs (exaggeration...except for that one Madden guy who did it lol).
EDIT - The other thing I have to remind myself is that there is variance...it's just that it's almost always Jacob Wilson or another 3000-stub lower diamond (which counts against the odds).
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Screw the odds. Wtf is this unsellable? And why show us how much these cards are worth on the market if I can't sell the card. My issue for years is why make certain cards unsellable. What are we to do with duplicates? At least give us the option to unlock one or quick sell one. I have a ton of stubs locked up that I could use for collections. So dumb
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@Nickc22_MLBTS it’s random. Don’t waste your money on packs. It’s what they want
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Ever since update 6 the pack odds for all packs got worse by a large amount. They didn't announce it and will never announce it but before update 6 things were different and I will take that opinion to the grave with me lol.
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@FatKidzLag3617_XBL I will follow you on this. No one can tell me otherwise. They definitely did something to the pack odds. Id be willing to bet money on it. Ballin is a habit packs are 1 and 15. There is no way im getting a diamond in 5 percent of ballin packs that I open. Its definitely better than the trash show packs. When I open a 100 packs and get one. Thats a 1 percent chance.
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I’ve been whining all season about it. So frustrating. I can’t prove anything but man the amount of packs I’ve opened and just quicksell it all
They’ve done a cool thing giving us more packs but I feel like I had a lot more success back when a repeatable conquest gave us 5 packs in 3 games. Whatever year that was.
That map was awesome, could play 3 games in an hour before work having a coffee. Was a 5 pack bundle I think
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@JenkinMeyer_PSN I cannot prove it either. I wouldnt be surprised if the games algorithm is set up to give people better pack odds that spend money on the game. Because im getting zilch. 100s if not thousands of packs with a few live series quick sells in between. When I say a few I mean a few next to no diamonds. Watch after all star break towards the end of the year. Suddenly we be able to pull more diamonds. Then at the end of the year they can say packs odds are correct. Shady
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But I’ve spent money, and still get zilch
To be fair only 200.00 early to fill my binder (in hopes) of being able to get Pujols
Did hit a Skenes and Soto early which helped a bit but man I’ve opened 100,000 packs seems like - from miniseasons rewards
And I also keep pulling Rod Carew from every Mural pack. Consistently pull him always
I’ll pull 2-3 of same player in premier packs when I get them. So annoying
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Until any of you literally go out and count every pack you’ve opened and get the exact amount of diamonds that you earned, all of this is just people who are mad about their pack luck. The odds are stated, and for everyone of of you that feels they need to make a comment about the odds because they don’t get what they wanted, there’s another person who has had great luck and just doesn’t post about it.
In fact, I think there was somebody in the forums keeping track of all of their packs literally throughout the season and they have opened just about one diamond for every 50 standard packs they’ve opened.
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Until any of you literally go out and count every pack you’ve opened and get the exact amount of diamonds that you earned, all of this is just people who are mad about their pack luck. The odds are stated, and for everyone of of you that feels they need to make a comment about the odds because they don’t get what they wanted, there’s another person who has had great luck and just doesn’t post about it.
In fact, I think there was somebody in the forums keeping track of all of their packs literally throughout the season and they have opened just about one diamond for every 50 standard packs they’ve opened
And in that 50th they probably pulled the same 85 they always do.
I made a spreadsheet once on a big pack opening once, then I realized I’m supposed to be playing baseball but the stubs do help to be able to buy players you want
We all know how odds work it’s a sore beaten to death argument to be sure
Having said that I’ve seen too many CONSISTENT players which makes me question whatever
3 of the same gold in back to back to back?
I’d understand this if you buy a skid of baseball cards, repeats happen a lot per Box
But this digital thing is weird
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Quality of card vs type of card are not the same thing though. A lot of the complaints people make when they say “we’ve never gotten a diamond” are reallly from people that mean “I’ve never gotten a diamond worth more than 3000 gold”. The odds of pulling a diamond ARE in fact 2%. The odds of pulling Ohtani were something like 1 out of 20000. All of those individual odds are listed too.
As far as pulling the same card out of specialty packs (the other conspiracy everyone likes to get in on), that’s usually because the odds of pulling that card are the highest in a pack where there’s only 15ish cards or so.
I know, I’m frowned on for actually stating this, but there has never been a story about pack odds on this forum that has lead me to believe “hmmm pack odds must be wrong”. Most stories are just hyperbole or from people who didn’t have good middle school math teachers.
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@JDHalfrack_PSN so you just blindly believe what you are told? You dont see them manipulating odds at all you just trust it? You do not think its even a slight possibility a company can manipulate odds throughout a course of a year? Casino odds always favor the house and they manipulate sports betting odds all the time. Do you also believe our government spends our tax money correctly, or whatever a politician says to be true. Id love to be as nieve as you. Thats not real life brother.
There are two types of people in this world. Those that guestion things at times and those that do not. Sometimes called yes men or sheep. Since you want to talk smack about math and math teachers etc. I can talk smack right back to you.
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Quality of card vs type of card are not the same thing though. A lot of the complaints people make when they say “we’ve never gotten a diamond” are reallly from people that mean “I’ve never gotten a diamond worth more than 3000 gold”. The odds of pulling a diamond ARE in fact 2%. The odds of pulling Ohtani were something like 1 out of 20000. All of those individual odds are listed too.
As far as pulling the same card out of specialty packs (the other conspiracy everyone likes to get in on), that’s usually because the odds of pulling that card are the highest in a pack where there’s only 15ish cards or so.
I know, I’m frowned on for actually stating this, but there has never been a story about pack odds on this forum that has lead me to believe “hmmm pack odds must be wrong”. Most stories are just hyperbole or from people who didn’t have good middle school math teachers.
I had an incredible middle school math teacher. Probably why I’m bitching.
Math don’t math
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@JDHalfrack_PSN so you just blindly believe what you are told? You dont see them manipulating odds at all you just trust it? You do not think its even a slight possibility a company can manipulate odds throughout a course of a year? Casino odds always favor the house and they manipulate sports betting odds all the time. Do you also believe our government spends our tax money correctly, or whatever a politician says to be true. Id love to be as nieve as you. Thats not real life brother.
There are two types of people in this world. Those that guestion things at times and those that do not. Sometimes called yes men or sheep. Since you want to talk smack about math and math teachers etc. I can talk smack right back to you.
Blindly believing everything is a conspiracy theory isn't any better. You're a sheep to, just a different kind.
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@Pergo_MLBTS i do not blindly believe everything is a conspiracy theory. What im seeing and what several other people are saying on here, enough people to make you think... about their pack openings is making me believe something is up. Im not just talking out of my a s s
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS Only listening to opinions that match what you want to be true and ignoring everything else is pretty much the definition of talking out of your a s s.
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@Pergo_MLBTS im doing my own counts. Im on pack 226 without a live series diamond pull. Im on bah pack 100 with only a single diamond pull. Math isnt mathing.
Btw this has happened several times this year. 100s of packs without a live series diamond. Same with Bah packs.
Are you calling me a liar. Ive kept count several times this year.
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better then advertised. But thats now how odds work.
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@Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.
Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well
Now, I do know that just because two of us agree doesn’t shove math up your patoot
