Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing

Maverick31762

Well once again you only use WAR as your justification. You roped in OPS which btw OPS is just another stat where joe Carter is superior.

But anyway we agree to disagree.

Warren Spahn is another guy who clearly should get a SS in this gsme

Maverick31762

Please deleye

Maverick31762

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians
WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.
Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts
I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

MiKySaK_PSN

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

I am sorry, I will not play this game with you. Everything was said before by other guys here and as always you decided to ignore it or somehow make their arguments “invalid”. Even through they are pretty much valid, everyone can see it.. except for you. I wonder why. I really admire Skepple’s, Sefar’s and others patience with you.

SefarR_PSN

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

Maverick31762

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

I am sorry, I will not play this game with you. Everything was said before by other guys here and as always you decided to ignore it or somehow make their arguments “invalid”. Even through they are pretty much valid, everyone can see it.. except for you. I wonder why. I really admire Skepple’s, Sefar’s and others patience with you.

So you are just trolling. You came in and named called and when i engages you to pint out where I was wrong and to to back your claim you back off. Bye troll

durhambulls71

I think mookie could be an interesting card. He would most likely have contact and vision above 100 with power above 90. His defense and arm would be elite. Speed would be good. He is short so those who like the smaller strike zone would like him and I think he has a pretty quick swing. I used his ls card for a while because I liked the swing and when he was up on ie he was really good. If Mookie gets one he will be arguably the best defensive right fielder behind ichiro and will have extremely usable offensive attributes.

This whole argument about joe carter is pretty silly because they couldnt really inflate his attributes enough to make him usable for many people in the game at this point and to say someone deserves a ss card doesn’t make sense. From the first stream of last year they identified signature series as the best version of a card. These are not immortals who could have been considered some of the best to play a position or in an era. Signature series isn’t that. It just means this is the best card we will see of this player. To say someone deserves a card because someone else got one is silly because it does t convey any status. Last year immortals were legitimately the best cards sds had the rights to.

Maverick31762

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B
WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Some_Schmuck_22

@durhambulls71 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

This whole argument about joe carter is pretty silly because they couldnt really inflate his attributes enough to make him usable for many people in the game at this point and to say someone deserves a ss card doesn’t make sense. From the first stream of last year they identified signature series as the best version of a card. These are not immortals who could have been considered some of the best to play a position or in an era. Signature series isn’t that. It just means this is the best card we will see of this player. To say someone deserves a card because someone else got one is silly because it does t convey any status. Last year immortals were legitimately the best cards sds had the rights to.

So a 62 Overall SS Mario Mendoza is still a possibility? I'm in.

Maverick31762

@durhambulls71 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I think mookie could be an interesting card. He would most likely have contact and vision above 100 with power above 90. His defense and arm would be elite. Speed would be good. He is short so those who like the smaller strike zone would like him and I think he has a pretty quick swing. I used his ls card for a while because I liked the swing and when he was up on ie he was really good. If Mookie gets one he will be arguably the best defensive right fielder behind ichiro and will have extremely usable offensive attributes.

This whole argument about joe carter is pretty silly because they couldnt really inflate his attributes enough to make him usable for many people in the game at this point and to say someone deserves a ss card doesn’t make sense. From the first stream of last year they identified signature series as the best version of a card. These are not immortals who could have been considered some of the best to play a position or in an era. Signature series isn’t that. It just means this is the best card we will see of this player. To say someone deserves a card because someone else got one is silly because it does t convey any status. Last year immortals were legitimately the best cards sds had the rights to.

They are inflating attributes ALL over the place. ALL Finest are inflated. After could definitely get higher speed and SB as he is a 30-30 guy. 28 stealing isn't a good rep for him. He didn't K a lot for a power hitter so his vision could go up. HIs career slugging splits are not that different, so he should get more power vs Rt at least 80s on par with Garret Anderson. Anderson is his proper comp tbh.

Also the main reason Carter should get a SS is because EVERY other Legend card in that initial group has a SS. Why would he be left out?

SefarR_PSN

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

DriveByTrucker17

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

WAR tells much more about a player than any of those base stats used together. Gordon’s career is better than Carter’s, and only a true moron would think otherwise.

Maverick31762

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

No, I don't think its arbitrary. I think it has a certain value. Just NOT enough value to overrule every other statistical measure. Also in the dWAR calculation you did not explain how the other stats are created. Also if you REALLY think DWar is accurate that means you think Cal Ripken Jr. is the greatest the 3rd greatest defensive player of all-time. Listen Cal was a solid defensive player but only an idiot would actually think he is the third best defensive player of all time. You also have to think Gary Carter is the second best defensive catcher of all-time. Once again....not knocking Carters defense it was good. But I think this shows how the stat might be flawed. D-War has Andrew Jones the greatest defensive CF, not Mays, not Mantle, not Devon White, not Griffey, not Tris Speaker. Hell Willie Mays defense is comparable to Chase Utley. Really? Just some on the face stuff is silly as Gary Templeton and Tulo are equal in DWar. Anyone who watched both would never think that.

But its whatever, I don't feel like breaking down why WAR and dWAR especially is a very weak stat and an argument about a players value shouldn't be based ONLY on it.

SefarR_PSN

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

No, I don't think its arbitrary. I think it has a certain value. Just NOT enough value to overrule every other statistical measure. Also in the dWAR calculation you did not explain how the other stats are created. Also if you REALLY think DWar is accurate that means you think Cal Ripken Jr. is the greatest the 3rd greatest defensive player of all-time. Listen Cal was a solid defensive player but only an idiot would actually think he is the third best defensive player of all time. You also have to think Gary Carter is the second best defensive catcher of all-time. Once again....not knocking Carters defense it was good. But I think this shows how the stat might be flawed. D-War has Andrew Jones the greatest defensive CF, not Mays, not Mantle, not Devon White, not Griffey, not Tris Speaker

But its whatever, I don't feel like breaking down why WAR and dWAR especially is a very weak stat and an argument about a players value shouldn't be based ONLY on it.

You know why dWAR has Andruw Jones a better defender than Griffey, Speaker, Mantle or White? It's because he was.

Ripken benefits from a long career full of full seasons played, but he is still way behind Ozzie and Andrelton Simmons will overtake him. Who should be clearly ahead of him? Vizquel? His defensive metrics are still well reflected in dWAR.

Who should be ahead of Gary Carter but isn't?

Also, this is such a far stretch of my argument (dare I say that it's a straw man?). We're not talking about the order of all time defensive greats and whether they align perfectly in terms of defensive WAR. They won't. But there is no all time defensive great that doesnt have dWAR significantly on the plus side. It works that way because overall dWAR still works to differentiate poor defenders from good ones.

Joe Carter was a terrible fielder who was a net-negative for his teams as a defender. Gordon was the opposite.

Maverick31762

@DriveByTrucker17 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

WAR tells much more about a player than any of those base stats used together. Gordon’s career is better than Carter’s, and only a true moron would think otherwise.

Driver when you don't have a good argument the classic move of unintelligent people is to name call. I disagree with Sefar, but he is smart enough to have an intelligent argument without an insult. But when we last had a WAR debate I asked if you have EVER taken more than 6 credits in Math or statistics, if you have EVER taken a undergraduate or masters level statistics class. If you have have even 60 college credits. I also asked if you have ever had to use stats or develop statistical analysis in ANY professional manner. I can answer YES to all of those and to me that is not a high bar. So before you call someone a moron you should look in the mirror.

Maverick31762

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

No, I don't think its arbitrary. I think it has a certain value. Just NOT enough value to overrule every other statistical measure. Also in the dWAR calculation you did not explain how the other stats are created. Also if you REALLY think DWar is accurate that means you think Cal Ripken Jr. is the greatest the 3rd greatest defensive player of all-time. Listen Cal was a solid defensive player but only an idiot would actually think he is the third best defensive player of all time. You also have to think Gary Carter is the second best defensive catcher of all-time. Once again....not knocking Carters defense it was good. But I think this shows how the stat might be flawed. D-War has Andrew Jones the greatest defensive CF, not Mays, not Mantle, not Devon White, not Griffey, not Tris Speaker

But its whatever, I don't feel like breaking down why WAR and dWAR especially is a very weak stat and an argument about a players value shouldn't be based ONLY on it.

You know why dWAR has Andruw Jones a better defender than Griffey, Speaker, Mantle or White? It's because he was.

Ripken benefits from a long career full of full seasons played, but he is still way behind Ozzie and Andrelton Simmons will overtake him. Who should be clearly ahead of him? Vizquel? His defensive metrics are still well reflected in dWAR.

Who should be ahead of Gary Carter but isn't?

Also, this is such a far stretch of my argument (dare I say that it's a straw man?). We're not talking about the order of all time defensive greats and whether they align perfectly in terms of defensive WAR. They won't. But there is no all time defensive great that doesnt have dWAR significantly on the plus side. It works that way because overall dWAR still works to differentiate poor defenders from good ones.

Joe Carter was a terrible fielder who was a net-negative for his teams as a defender. Gordon was the opposite.

of course that is a circular argument. He was a better fielder because he had a better dWar. but anyway...is Ripken the third greatest defensive player of all time can you attempt to say that honestly. I don't even think he is like the 4th best SS I have ever seen.

Johnny Bench, Fisk and Yadi Molina should be ahead of Carter just off the top of my head

Also yes, DWar is not a total waste and yes good defenders seem to pop up on the list. But great hitters seem to pop up on the all time hit list but we both can agree we would not use that measure alone to say who the great hitters are.

I am not arguing against WAR. I am arguing against the singular use of WAR and dWAR

SefarR_PSN

You can point out minute differences between all time defensive greats in terms of dWAR till the cows come home, but all those defenders are still shown as significant net-positives for their teams because while dWAR is not perfect - it is still useful.

However if you'd rather compare Gordon's and Carter's UZR, we can do that.

SefarR_PSN

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

No, I don't think its arbitrary. I think it has a certain value. Just NOT enough value to overrule every other statistical measure. Also in the dWAR calculation you did not explain how the other stats are created. Also if you REALLY think DWar is accurate that means you think Cal Ripken Jr. is the greatest the 3rd greatest defensive player of all-time. Listen Cal was a solid defensive player but only an idiot would actually think he is the third best defensive player of all time. You also have to think Gary Carter is the second best defensive catcher of all-time. Once again....not knocking Carters defense it was good. But I think this shows how the stat might be flawed. D-War has Andrew Jones the greatest defensive CF, not Mays, not Mantle, not Devon White, not Griffey, not Tris Speaker

But its whatever, I don't feel like breaking down why WAR and dWAR especially is a very weak stat and an argument about a players value shouldn't be based ONLY on it.

You know why dWAR has Andruw Jones a better defender than Griffey, Speaker, Mantle or White? It's because he was.

Ripken benefits from a long career full of full seasons played, but he is still way behind Ozzie and Andrelton Simmons will overtake him. Who should be clearly ahead of him? Vizquel? His defensive metrics are still well reflected in dWAR.

Who should be ahead of Gary Carter but isn't?

Also, this is such a far stretch of my argument (dare I say that it's a straw man?). We're not talking about the order of all time defensive greats and whether they align perfectly in terms of defensive WAR. They won't. But there is no all time defensive great that doesnt have dWAR significantly on the plus side. It works that way because overall dWAR still works to differentiate poor defenders from good ones.

Joe Carter was a terrible fielder who was a net-negative for his teams as a defender. Gordon was the opposite.

of course that is a circular argument. He was a better fielder because he had a better dWar. but anyway...is Ripken the third greatest defensive player of all time can you attempt to say that honestly. I don't even think he is like the 4th best SS I have ever seen.

Johnny Bench, Fisk and Yadi Molina should be ahead of Carter just off the top of my head

Also yes, DWar is not a total waste and yes good defenders seem to pop up on the list. But great hitters seem to pop up on the all time hit list but we both can agree we would not use that measure alone to say who the great hitters are.

I am not arguing against WAR. I am arguing against the singular use of WAR and dWAR

Okay, here:

According to fangraphs Joe Carter's fielding value was -86 and defensive value was -175.7.

Alex Gordon's fielding value is 84.2 and defensive value 27.4.

Literally on any metric Carter was an awful defender who cost his teams games on that side of the ball.

Maverick31762

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

You can point out minute differences between all time defensive greats in terms of dWAR till the cows come home, but all those defenders are still shown as significant net-positives for their teams because while dWAR is not perfect - it is still useful.

However if you'd rather compare Gordon's and Carter's UZR, we can do that.

This is a straw man....Gordon is a waaaaay better defender than Carter no argument there. I am just saying I think despite that Carter is a superior overall player. Especially because that the position it is LF and not very important defensively. Furthermore, because WAR isn't a standards based measure but is relative to other players. Gordon is being compared to weak fielders. Which goes into why WAR is silly to begin with. Carter is compared to the likes of Belle, Gonzalez and a bunch of steroid era monsters. Gordon not so much. but its whatever. Reason number 100 why WAR is flawed.

Maverick31762

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@MiKySaK said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@SefarR said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

@Maverick31762 said in Your 5 most wanted SS cards still missing:

I will also add that all star appearances, RBI, homers, OPS, steals, MVP voting are ALL flawed. However, I am not depending on one stat to make or break my case. When Carter is better in 90% of stats and watching th em both in action one was better. Plus in terms of baseball history he is more relevant.

Okay, one last time.

WAR is a comprehensive stat that takes into consideration offense and defense and calculates how valuable you are compared to a replacement level player.

None of your offensive stats take into consideration defense.

Overall Gordon was the better player and to argue otherwise is simply ignorant.

WAR is a flawed stat. Even the founder of it Will James will admit as much. It’s goal is to be comprehend it it is not for more reasons than I can state. Google flaw in WAR stat or if you have a good understanding of statistics (not baseball stats) but actual statistics find out how WAR is made and the underlying assumptions and behind the math decisions you can poke holes throughout.

Alex Gordon played LF literally the position with the least defensive relevance. Stop acting like he was a SS he was actually a bad 3B with a good arm converted to LF. Dude had maybe 3 high quality above average seasons. If you can point to more please tell me. MOST of his seasons were garbage in a garbage team

To say that anyone could put up his Toronto numbers well he was the 4 hitter on. Steam with 2 HOF. Alomar and aging Winfeild. Are saying he is a product of Grubrr and Olerud. Also he was putting up the same number in Cleveland Yes he swing at everything and didn’t hit for a high average. He also stole bases and didn’t K a lot for a power hitter. I am not saying he was the greatest ever. Saying he was very good and better than Gordon.
Man after had a 9 season stretch of 30 homers 100 RBI and like 20 steals. Gordon wished he had one season like that.

You are incredible. I bet you are one of those guys who thinks Earth is flat. Another interesting thread destroyed by you and your flawed “logic”. Congrats!

Back to the topic. Pretty much the only player I am waiting for is SS Gossage. I don’t think anyone else will make my team. Maybe starting pitchers Hersheiser, Vida, Newhouser..

Ok troll if you are going to talk [censored] please explain my flawed logic. Nobody as insulting anyone. Not sure why you are bringing that douche energy. Here are the points to my argument please point to the one that is flawed

You should not use a single stat to determine players ability. You should use multiple stats. This is a premise used by real life statisticians

WAR is a very flawed stat. The inventor of WAR says as much. There are many poor assumptions. I am not alone in this MLB doesn’t use the stat. You can’t find an incentive based contract that uses it either.

Carter is better than Gordon in every offensive stat but WAR. By other less objective measures it still informative measures like all Star appearances and MVP finishes he is superior. These are facts

I concede that Gordon is a better fielder. However, I am saying that given LF is the least important defensive position that it doesn’t rally add to the case. Especially because most corner OF are there primarily because their offense. I don’t see how the statement is even controversial.

The point is WAR, even if it is a singular stat, is better than the stats you're referring to (I.e. RBIs (meaningless), SBs (almost as meaningless), All star appearances (utterly meaningless)).

OPS-wise Carter and Gordon are easily comparable with neither having elite-production seasons and both ranging seasonally in the 700s or low 800s).

Defensively they arent remotely comparable.

You're missing the point that it is extremely difficult to provide additional wins into WAR and dWAR as a left fielder, but Gordon did. Meanwhile, Carter actually played under replacement level and actually cost his team games with his defense...

Why do you think Keith Hernandez' career dWAR is 1.3? Because although he was a great fielder, it is very difficult to provide additional defensive wins as a 1B. The fact that Gordon was able to produce 8.6 defensive wins based on dWAR as a left fielder is actually very impressive and shows that he actually had a net-positive impact there (unlike Carter).

Lastly, Bill James (not Will) is not the creator of WAR but win shares. He criticises WAR sure but how about you go to him and present your analysis between Carter and Gordon based on RBIs, stolen bases and all star appearances... Wonder what he would say to that....

We just disagree about the use of WAR as a singular stat. I think that ANY singular stat RBI, homers, BA etc is not as good as a full statistical analysis. I am not using ONE stat. When triangulating the data which any statistician on the planet would say is a better method of analyzing data than looking at any one stat you get a better idea of the player. Here are some facts

Carter is better stats in the following:

Homeruns (career, single season, per AB),
RBI (career, single season, per AB),
Steals (career, single season, per AB),
hits (career, single season, per AB),
Triples (career, single season, per AB),
Runs (career, single season, per AB),
BA (career)
Slugging (career, single season) - number of .500 SLG season
OPS (career, single season) - number of .800 OPS seasons
OPS+ (career)
All-Star selections
Top 10 MVP selections

Gordon played a great LF and a horrible 3B

WAR is a not a perfect stat. Here are a few articles that touch on it
WAR article
lThis WAR article touches other aspects of it that might directly impact this comparison

Here is an example of how BAD a stat WAR can be and you can find TONS when you start to look. Take a look at 1994 Carter
G AB R. H HR. RBI. SB BA. OBP. SLG. OPS
1994 34 TOR AL 111 435 70 118 27 103 11. .271 .317 .524 .841

I think its fair to say that a season like this that got him a top 10 MVP finish and an all star selection is not something that any typical replacement player could have pulled off. Clearly baseball people realize it was a great season thus the All Star selection and MVP votes. Those are good numbers. But according to WAR this won't even get you an extra win as the WAR for this season was 0.7. This is in large part due to his -1.6 dWAR. Wow such a bad dWAR you would think he was making tons of errors. Nope only 2 errors. So I guess he was missing balls? Really? won't get into how that is measured in WAR but it is VERY subjective.

Realistically, I'm not even writing this to you, but the other forum members, because I know nothing can make you change your mind.

Here is how baseball reference calculates defensive WAR:

W-L% = ((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player))/((League Runs/Game / 2)^(Runs/Game involving Player) + ((League Runs/Game / 2)- Player Defensive Runs)^(Runs/Game involving Player))
DWAA = (W-L% - .5) * Games Played
DWRSE = Player Defensive Runs / ((2 * (league Runs/Game)^.715) - (2 * (Runs per Game involving Player)^.715))
DWAR = DWAA + DWRSE

How much do you think this has to do with how many errors Carter committed?

How valuable do you think a player that never commits an error but covers an area the size of a basketball is to a team?

You've decided that WAR is somehow an arbitrary stat but how about we put this thing to a vote here? How many people do you think will vote for Carter?

No, I don't think its arbitrary. I think it has a certain value. Just NOT enough value to overrule every other statistical measure. Also in the dWAR calculation you did not explain how the other stats are created. Also if you REALLY think DWar is accurate that means you think Cal Ripken Jr. is the greatest the 3rd greatest defensive player of all-time. Listen Cal was a solid defensive player but only an idiot would actually think he is the third best defensive player of all time. You also have to think Gary Carter is the second best defensive catcher of all-time. Once again....not knocking Carters defense it was good. But I think this shows how the stat might be flawed. D-War has Andrew Jones the greatest defensive CF, not Mays, not Mantle, not Devon White, not Griffey, not Tris Speaker

But its whatever, I don't feel like breaking down why WAR and dWAR especially is a very weak stat and an argument about a players value shouldn't be based ONLY on it.

You know why dWAR has Andruw Jones a better defender than Griffey, Speaker, Mantle or White? It's because he was.

Ripken benefits from a long career full of full seasons played, but he is still way behind Ozzie and Andrelton Simmons will overtake him. Who should be clearly ahead of him? Vizquel? His defensive metrics are still well reflected in dWAR.

Who should be ahead of Gary Carter but isn't?

Also, this is such a far stretch of my argument (dare I say that it's a straw man?). We're not talking about the order of all time defensive greats and whether they align perfectly in terms of defensive WAR. They won't. But there is no all time defensive great that doesnt have dWAR significantly on the plus side. It works that way because overall dWAR still works to differentiate poor defenders from good ones.

Joe Carter was a terrible fielder who was a net-negative for his teams as a defender. Gordon was the opposite.

of course that is a circular argument. He was a better fielder because he had a better dWar. but anyway...is Ripken the third greatest defensive player of all time can you attempt to say that honestly. I don't even think he is like the 4th best SS I have ever seen.

Johnny Bench, Fisk and Yadi Molina should be ahead of Carter just off the top of my head

Also yes, DWar is not a total waste and yes good defenders seem to pop up on the list. But great hitters seem to pop up on the all time hit list but we both can agree we would not use that measure alone to say who the great hitters are.

I am not arguing against WAR. I am arguing against the singular use of WAR and dWAR

Okay, here:

According to fangraphs Joe Carter's fielding value was -86 and defensive value was -175.7.

Alex Gordon's fielding value is 84.2 and defensive value 27.4.

Literally on any metric Carter was an awful defender who cost his teams games on that side of the ball.

Well first you are misinterpreting WAR. He didn't cost his team games. It means that the average player during that time made that much of a difference. Furthermore, its a comparative stat. He could have been bad in an era when there were tons of good LF....like a Bonds. It also could mean that the manager did a bad job of where he positioned him or that he played in difficult LF...like Fenway and Yankee stadium. There are sooo many flaws to the measure that it just doesn't say much. And if you really think Joe Carter was Soooo bad on defense it nullified his offense that is silly on its face. How many balls went out to left that he made a bad play on vs the over 100 times he was able to drive a hitter in a season.

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