More Free Packs=Lower Odds
-
Then why would I get one every time I bought a real box of 24 packs and the odds were 1:24?
-
@davisonkj17 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
With all the free packs being handed out in every program, TA, and event.....The odds written on the packs still say the same but it would make sense to keep the market viable the odds have been skewed....
I was bored at work and thanks to the show nation website showing every pack you have opened this year in game and online I did the numbers some packs: I did not include the show packs, twitch packs or TA packs
SilverLiners Packs: 89, Silver Players: 69, Gold Players: 26, Diamond: 9 (Yates-89 x 2, Morton-85, Flaherty-85, Acuna-89 x 2, Judge-88, Harper-85, Baez-86) There was a month gap between Diamond pulls
Golden Habit Packs: 23, Gold Players: 25, Diamond: 1 (Strasburg-87 on March 17th)
2 Flash Sale Packs: Baez-86 and Altuve-85
Prospect Packs: 7- Low Tier x6, Mid Tier x1
I hope my pack luck turns around when I get to the Team Affinity Packs and Golden Habit packs for each team
How has everyone else been doing with the "special" packs
What are Silver Liner and Golden Habit packs? -
@royalslover said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
Then why would I get one every time I bought a real box of 24 packs and the odds were 1:24?
Wow, now you are just being a douche. You know very well a box is 24 packs. You also know they seed 1 per box. By common business practice they list the odds as 1 in 24. Not everyone buys a full box. Some by few packs here and there.
-
The real question is how many common free agent cards do you now have? The real red herring of pack scams and skewed odds.
-
I'm a douche? Go look at your past posts/comments. I think you should look in the mirror for the definition of douche.
-
@royalslover said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
I'm a douche? Go look at your past posts/comments. I think you should look in the mirror for the definition of douche.
Never said I can’t/wasn’t a douche. Still does not change you are a douche.
Btw thanks for taking the time to look at my previous points. It lets me know that you really offended by the douche comment. Maybe because it hit a little to close to home? Food for thought.
-
@davisonkj17 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
With all the free packs being handed out in every program, TA, and event.....The odds written on the packs still say the same but it would make sense to keep the market viable the odds have been skewed....
I was bored at work and thanks to the show nation website showing every pack you have opened this year in game and online I did the numbers some packs: I did not include the show packs, twitch packs or TA packs
SilverLiners Packs: 89, Silver Players: 69, Gold Players: 26, Diamond: 9 (Yates-89 x 2, Morton-85, Flaherty-85, Acuna-89 x 2, Judge-88, Harper-85, Baez-86) There was a month gap between Diamond pulls
Golden Habit Packs: 23, Gold Players: 25, Diamond: 1 (Strasburg-87 on March 17th)
2 Flash Sale Packs: Baez-86 and Altuve-85
Prospect Packs: 7- Low Tier x6, Mid Tier x1
I hope my pack luck turns around when I get to the Team Affinity Packs and Golden Habit packs for each team
How has everyone else been doing with the "special" packs
Your sample size is much too small to get any usable data.
-
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
The 1 in 50? Don’t think so, but if it is, it’s not accurate at all.
98% chance per each individual pack not having a diamond player is accurate
Having more packs does not increase your odds. Same chance per pack
What theory are you using to say this? Based on a 2% per pack odds, How many packs would you say ia diamond should come out using your math expertise? Interested to hear it.
No expertise or theory needed to explain... every pack has same odds 1:50 of having a diamond in it.
There is no magical number of packs to buy that will produce a diamond player. Sure the more packs you buy the likelihood of getting a diamond from a pack is certain to happen at some point but the odds are not in your favor
That really doesn’t say anything tho. It’s basically says 1:50 odds shouldn’t produce 1 in 50 with nothing to actually prove that. I’d like to see what it’s based on.
Ok... get a standard deck of 52 cards and take 2 out. Let's say the ace of spades is in the 50 cards and this represents a diamond player. Have someone shuffle the cards and you choose one card and your goal is to select the ace of spades. After selecting the card you put it back in the deck and it is reshuffled for the next card draw. Do this 50 times and let me know how many times you select the ace of spades. This is what the odds are based on.
and this was confirmed where?
This is confirmed everywhere as this is how probability works. Not really hard to understand. The probability of getting a diamond player is around 2% but the probability of not getting a diamond player is 98% PER PACK.
It even says on the pack odds screen about the probability of getting diamond, gold, silver, or bronze players.
I understand probability, but the math doesn't add up, by your "probability" diamonds would be pulled roughly once every 1000 packs or so. I don't get one every 50 packs, but if i totaled up my packs i'd say it been close to 1 in every 60-65 packs, which shoots your claim to shame. So once again, where is it confirmed? Are the odds they list per pack or....what they're claiming the amount of packs to pull one is?
Dave: You don't understand how probability works.
-
@Oski_1-9-9-6 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
The 1 in 50? Don’t think so, but if it is, it’s not accurate at all.
98% chance per each individual pack not having a diamond player is accurate
Having more packs does not increase your odds. Same chance per pack
What theory are you using to say this? Based on a 2% per pack odds, How many packs would you say ia diamond should come out using your math expertise? Interested to hear it.
No expertise or theory needed to explain... every pack has same odds 1:50 of having a diamond in it.
There is no magical number of packs to buy that will produce a diamond player. Sure the more packs you buy the likelihood of getting a diamond from a pack is certain to happen at some point but the odds are not in your favor
That really doesn’t say anything tho. It’s basically says 1:50 odds shouldn’t produce 1 in 50 with nothing to actually prove that. I’d like to see what it’s based on.
Ok... get a standard deck of 52 cards and take 2 out. Let's say the ace of spades is in the 50 cards and this represents a diamond player. Have someone shuffle the cards and you choose one card and your goal is to select the ace of spades. After selecting the card you put it back in the deck and it is reshuffled for the next card draw. Do this 50 times and let me know how many times you select the ace of spades. This is what the odds are based on.
and this was confirmed where?
This is confirmed everywhere as this is how probability works. Not really hard to understand. The probability of getting a diamond player is around 2% but the probability of not getting a diamond player is 98% PER PACK.
It even says on the pack odds screen about the probability of getting diamond, gold, silver, or bronze players.
I understand probability, but the math doesn't add up, by your "probability" diamonds would be pulled roughly once every 1000 packs or so. I don't get one every 50 packs, but if i totaled up my packs i'd say it been close to 1 in every 60-65 packs, which shoots your claim to shame. So once again, where is it confirmed? Are the odds they list per pack or....what they're claiming the amount of packs to pull one is?
Dave: You don't understand how probability works.
I knew there was a high probability that some twit would reply to a thread that’s 3 weeks old.
-
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Oski_1-9-9-6 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
The 1 in 50? Don’t think so, but if it is, it’s not accurate at all.
98% chance per each individual pack not having a diamond player is accurate
Having more packs does not increase your odds. Same chance per pack
What theory are you using to say this? Based on a 2% per pack odds, How many packs would you say ia diamond should come out using your math expertise? Interested to hear it.
No expertise or theory needed to explain... every pack has same odds 1:50 of having a diamond in it.
There is no magical number of packs to buy that will produce a diamond player. Sure the more packs you buy the likelihood of getting a diamond from a pack is certain to happen at some point but the odds are not in your favor
That really doesn’t say anything tho. It’s basically says 1:50 odds shouldn’t produce 1 in 50 with nothing to actually prove that. I’d like to see what it’s based on.
Ok... get a standard deck of 52 cards and take 2 out. Let's say the ace of spades is in the 50 cards and this represents a diamond player. Have someone shuffle the cards and you choose one card and your goal is to select the ace of spades. After selecting the card you put it back in the deck and it is reshuffled for the next card draw. Do this 50 times and let me know how many times you select the ace of spades. This is what the odds are based on.
and this was confirmed where?
This is confirmed everywhere as this is how probability works. Not really hard to understand. The probability of getting a diamond player is around 2% but the probability of not getting a diamond player is 98% PER PACK.
It even says on the pack odds screen about the probability of getting diamond, gold, silver, or bronze players.
I understand probability, but the math doesn't add up, by your "probability" diamonds would be pulled roughly once every 1000 packs or so. I don't get one every 50 packs, but if i totaled up my packs i'd say it been close to 1 in every 60-65 packs, which shoots your claim to shame. So once again, where is it confirmed? Are the odds they list per pack or....what they're claiming the amount of packs to pull one is?
Dave: You don't understand how probability works.
I knew there was a high probability that some twit would reply to a thread that’s 3 weeks old.
And 3 weeks from now and so on, your ignorance of how probability works will still be displayed
-
@Oski_1-9-9-6 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Oski_1-9-9-6 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:
The 1 in 50? Don’t think so, but if it is, it’s not accurate at all.
98% chance per each individual pack not having a diamond player is accurate
Having more packs does not increase your odds. Same chance per pack
What theory are you using to say this? Based on a 2% per pack odds, How many packs would you say ia diamond should come out using your math expertise? Interested to hear it.
No expertise or theory needed to explain... every pack has same odds 1:50 of having a diamond in it.
There is no magical number of packs to buy that will produce a diamond player. Sure the more packs you buy the likelihood of getting a diamond from a pack is certain to happen at some point but the odds are not in your favor
That really doesn’t say anything tho. It’s basically says 1:50 odds shouldn’t produce 1 in 50 with nothing to actually prove that. I’d like to see what it’s based on.
Ok... get a standard deck of 52 cards and take 2 out. Let's say the ace of spades is in the 50 cards and this represents a diamond player. Have someone shuffle the cards and you choose one card and your goal is to select the ace of spades. After selecting the card you put it back in the deck and it is reshuffled for the next card draw. Do this 50 times and let me know how many times you select the ace of spades. This is what the odds are based on.
and this was confirmed where?
This is confirmed everywhere as this is how probability works. Not really hard to understand. The probability of getting a diamond player is around 2% but the probability of not getting a diamond player is 98% PER PACK.
It even says on the pack odds screen about the probability of getting diamond, gold, silver, or bronze players.
I understand probability, but the math doesn't add up, by your "probability" diamonds would be pulled roughly once every 1000 packs or so. I don't get one every 50 packs, but if i totaled up my packs i'd say it been close to 1 in every 60-65 packs, which shoots your claim to shame. So once again, where is it confirmed? Are the odds they list per pack or....what they're claiming the amount of packs to pull one is?
Dave: You don't understand how probability works.
I knew there was a high probability that some twit would reply to a thread that’s 3 weeks old.
And 3 weeks from now and so on, your ignorance of how probability works will still be displayed
you take everything a bit too literal a-hat. my point was even though the packs suck, the odds aren't as bad as what he was saying either. honestly though, does anyone really believe their posted pack odds?
-
A admin locked this topic on
