• Categories
  • Popular
  • Dev Tracker
Skins
  • Default (The Show 26)
  • No Skin
  • The Show 23
  • Dark
  • The Show 24
  • The Show 25
  • The Show 26
Collapse
THESHOW.COM
Game Games Support Support My Account My Account

Community Forum

Pack Palooza Pack Odds

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Diamond Dynasty
79 Posts 24 Posters 4.1k Views
    • Oldest to Newest
    • Newest to Oldest
    • Most Votes
Reply
  • Reply as topic
Log in to reply
This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
  • JDHalfrack_PSNJ Offline
    JDHalfrack_PSNJ Offline
    JDHalfrack_PSN
    wrote last edited by
    #35

    Quality of card vs type of card are not the same thing though. A lot of the complaints people make when they say “we’ve never gotten a diamond” are reallly from people that mean “I’ve never gotten a diamond worth more than 3000 gold”. The odds of pulling a diamond ARE in fact 2%. The odds of pulling Ohtani were something like 1 out of 20000. All of those individual odds are listed too.

    As far as pulling the same card out of specialty packs (the other conspiracy everyone likes to get in on), that’s usually because the odds of pulling that card are the highest in a pack where there’s only 15ish cards or so.

    I know, I’m frowned on for actually stating this, but there has never been a story about pack odds on this forum that has lead me to believe “hmmm pack odds must be wrong”. Most stories are just hyperbole or from people who didn’t have good middle school math teachers.

    Ditka06 _MLBTSD JenkinMeyer_PSNJ 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Ditka06 _MLBTS
    #36

    @JDHalfrack_PSN so you just blindly believe what you are told? You dont see them manipulating odds at all you just trust it? You do not think its even a slight possibility a company can manipulate odds throughout a course of a year? Casino odds always favor the house and they manipulate sports betting odds all the time. Do you also believe our government spends our tax money correctly, or whatever a politician says to be true. Id love to be as nieve as you. Thats not real life brother.

    There are two types of people in this world. Those that guestion things at times and those that do not. Sometimes called yes men or sheep. Since you want to talk smack about math and math teachers etc. I can talk smack right back to you.

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by JenkinMeyer_PSN
    #37

    @JDHalfrack_PSN said:

    Quality of card vs type of card are not the same thing though. A lot of the complaints people make when they say “we’ve never gotten a diamond” are reallly from people that mean “I’ve never gotten a diamond worth more than 3000 gold”. The odds of pulling a diamond ARE in fact 2%. The odds of pulling Ohtani were something like 1 out of 20000. All of those individual odds are listed too.

    As far as pulling the same card out of specialty packs (the other conspiracy everyone likes to get in on), that’s usually because the odds of pulling that card are the highest in a pack where there’s only 15ish cards or so.

    I know, I’m frowned on for actually stating this, but there has never been a story about pack odds on this forum that has lead me to believe “hmmm pack odds must be wrong”. Most stories are just hyperbole or from people who didn’t have good middle school math teachers.

    I had an incredible middle school math teacher. Probably why I’m bitching.

    Math don’t math

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #38

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS said:

    @JDHalfrack_PSN so you just blindly believe what you are told? You dont see them manipulating odds at all you just trust it? You do not think its even a slight possibility a company can manipulate odds throughout a course of a year? Casino odds always favor the house and they manipulate sports betting odds all the time. Do you also believe our government spends our tax money correctly, or whatever a politician says to be true. Id love to be as nieve as you. Thats not real life brother.

    There are two types of people in this world. Those that guestion things at times and those that do not. Sometimes called yes men or sheep. Since you want to talk smack about math and math teachers etc. I can talk smack right back to you.

    Blindly believing everything is a conspiracy theory isn't any better. You're a sheep to, just a different kind.

    Ditka06 _MLBTSD FatKidzLag3617_XBLF 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Ditka06 _MLBTS
    #39

    @Pergo_MLBTS i do not blindly believe everything is a conspiracy theory. What im seeing and what several other people are saying on here, enough people to make you think... about their pack openings is making me believe something is up. Im not just talking out of my a s s

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #40

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS Only listening to opinions that match what you want to be true and ignoring everything else is pretty much the definition of talking out of your a s s.

    Ditka06 _MLBTSD 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTSD Offline
    Ditka06 _MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Ditka06 _MLBTS
    #41

    @Pergo_MLBTS im doing my own counts. Im on pack 226 without a live series diamond pull. Im on bah pack 100 with only a single diamond pull. Math isnt mathing.

    Btw this has happened several times this year. 100s of packs without a live series diamond. Same with Bah packs.

    Are you calling me a liar. Ive kept count several times this year.

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Pergo_MLBTS
    #42

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better then advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by JenkinMeyer_PSN
    #43

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    Now, I do know that just because two of us agree doesn’t shove math up your patoot

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #44

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by JenkinMeyer_PSN
    #45

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    He’s not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    Sometimes the math just doesn’t add up and with SDS track record you resort to looking into it, or at least imagining they may have effed up somewhere in their code

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #46

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by JenkinMeyer_PSN
    #47

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him. As a matter of fact, summon them all I’d like to hear from them

    Pergo_MLBTSP JDHalfrack_PSNJ 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Pergo_MLBTS
    #48

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him

    There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.

    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by
    #49

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him

    There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.

    Yeah man you’re reaching

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Pergo_MLBTS
    #50

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him

    There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.

    Yeah man you’re reaching

    How? I am literally using the exact same logic that you are. Does that mean you are reaching? Do you even realize how easily you just walked right in to that one?

    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Sarge1387_PSNS Offline
    Sarge1387_PSNS Offline
    Sarge1387_PSN
    wrote last edited by
    #51

    Yeah, this is pretty bad. I was expecting a W of some kind with this program… instead I’m just getting multiples of the lower tiers I already have.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Offline
    JenkinMeyer_PSN
    replied to Guest last edited by JenkinMeyer_PSN
    #52

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him

    There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.

    Yeah man you’re reaching

    How? I am literally using the exact same logic that you are. Does that mean you are reaching? Do you even realize how easily you just walked right in to that one?

    You’re speaking for the extreme outliers. The successes. It’s not that our logic is different at all

    It’s about results. I’m speaking out of my [censored] as I have no data to prove it so I guess I’ll just shut up

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTSP Offline
    Pergo_MLBTS
    replied to Guest last edited by Pergo_MLBTS
    #53

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @JenkinMeyer_PSN said:

    @Pergo_MLBTS said:

    @Ditka06-_MLBTS The amount of packs you open is irrelevant. There is a 2% chance of pulling a diamond each time you open a pack. Those are very very bad odds. It's not surprising at all that it does not happen very often. There are also people that pull diamonds much more often. Using your logic that means those people should believe that the odds are actually better than advertised. But thats now how odds work.

    Sorry man, Ditka is right. Hate him or not it’s my experience as well

    I don't hate him. I just dont have any reason to believe his conspiracy theories.

    Hes not a conspiracy theorist he’s speaking from personal experiences

    So if someone else has a personal experience where they have pulled diamonds more often than the odds state does that make them right?

    Show me that guy then we’ll talk. And then multiply him

    There are multiple people on here and on reddit that have pulled Ohtani multiple times. So I guess that means the odds are actually better than advertised based on your logic.

    Yeah man you’re reaching

    How? I am literally using the exact same logic that you are. Does that mean you are reaching? Do you even realize how easily you just walked right in to that one?

    You’re speaking for the extreme outliers. The successes. It’s not that our logic is different at all

    You are so close to finally getting it. You're also speaking of the extreme outliers. The failures.

    And if our logic is not different at all, and you say I am reaching, then that means you are also reaching. Which is exactly my point.

    JenkinMeyer_PSNJ Player99_MLBTSP 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ApolloZ_99_MLBTSA Offline
    ApolloZ_99_MLBTSA Offline
    ApolloZ_99_MLBTS
    wrote last edited by
    #54

    Guess this will go all year

    Pergo_MLBTSP 1 Reply Last reply
    0

X Instagram Facebook YouTube Twitch Discord TikTok
Major League Baseball Players Association Major League Baseball Sony Interactive Entertainment PlayStation Studios San Diego Studio ESRB ESRB Certificate
Terms of Use Privacy Policy TheShow.com Community Code of Conduct MLB The Show Online Code of Conduct MLB The Show Games

“PlayStation Family Mark”, “PlayStation”, “PlayStation Studios logo”, “PS5 Logo”, and “Play Has No Limits” are registered trademarks or trademarks of Sony Interactive Entertainment Inc. ©2026 Sony Interactive Entertainment LLC. MLB and MiLB trademarks and copyrights are used with permission of Major League Baseball. Visit MLB.com and MiLB.com. Officially Licensed Product of MLB Players, Inc. MLBPA trademarks, copyrighted works and other intellectual property rights are owned and/or held by MLBPA and may not be used without the written consent of MLBPA or MLB Players, Inc. Visit MLBPLAYERS.com, the Players Choice on the web. The Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum trademarks and copyrights are used with permission of the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc., as applicable. Visit the official website of the Hall of Fame at BaseballHall.org. Official Licensee-Major League Alumni Marketing, Inc. © MLAM. Officially Licensed by the Negro Leagues Baseball Museum, Inc. Kansas City, MO. Stubs is a registered trademark or trademark of Sony Interactive Entertainment LLC. Nintendo Switch is a trademark of Nintendo. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

  • Login

  • Login or register to search.
  • First post
    Last post
0
  • Categories
  • Popular
  • Dev Tracker
  • Login

  • Login or register to search.