I asked Google ai which sport is easier to rig
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Based on analysis of roster sizes, the number of officiating decisions, and game structure, the hardest major US sport to rig is baseball (MLB), while the easiest is generally considered to be basketball (NBA).
The Hardest to Rig: MLB (Baseball)Baseball is often considered the hardest to rig due to several factors:
Enormous Sample Size: With 162 games per season, fixing a single game has a minimal impact on the overall standings, and a long season makes sustained fixing difficult to hide.
Decentralized Influence: In baseball, one player (even a pitcher) has limited control over the total outcome compared to other sports. Offense and defense are separate, and a star pitcher only influences a fraction of the total games.
Randomness and Parity: Baseball has the most parity, and the randomness of the game means the best team does not always win, making it hard for outside influence to guarantee a specific outcome.The Easiest to Rig: NBA (Basketball)
Basketball is considered the easiest of the four to influence (or "rig" in terms of point shaving or influencing the winner) due to:
Small Roster/High Impact: With only five players on the court, one or two players (specifically stars) or officials have a massive impact on the outcome of the game.
Officiating Influence: Basketball is a high-scoring, foul-heavy sport. Referees can easily influence the game by calling "tick-tack" fouls, putting star players on the bench, or changing momentum in a close game.
Historical Precedent: The NBA has faced historical scrutiny, including the Tim Donaghy scandal, highlighting the ability of officials to impact game spreads.
Summary of the Four Major Sports
Hardest: MLB (Long season, high number of players, high randomness).
Difficult: NFL (Small sample size/single-game elimination makes it high stakes, but the large roster and reliance on 22+ starters make fixing difficult, though not impossible, due to referee influence on specific plays).
Moderate/Difficult: NHL (Similar to baseball in randomness, but lower scoring can make it easier to influence, though smaller roster size makes fixing more difficult than in basketball).
Easiest: NBA (Small roster, high impact of officials, high impact of star players).