MLB the show packs
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I would not even call it unlucky. Pretty much the average outcome I would think.
It's a 1 in 50 chance on each and every pack. The fact that you did not get one last pack does not technically increase your odds of getting one in the next pack.
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Think of 1 in 50 as a 2% chance in every pack. Because thats what it means
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I didn't pull a diamond from Tues until Friday, about 150 packs or so. On Friday in about 35 packs I pulled 4. Hopefully you get a run like that to balance out.
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I just watched Shelfy open 79 and he didn't get one. It's 1 50 every single pack like stated before so every pack the odds pretty much starts over. Don't worry, I have yet to pull a diamond since launch. Been doing that mystery map over and over for the packs.
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Christ, can someone please just sticky a thread that explains how the odds work?
1:50 does NOT mean you get a diamond every 50 packs; it means that every single individual pack you open, no matter how many you have opened previously, contains the same shitty 2% chance of pulling a diamond. Pack odds suck, and don't get any better the more you pull.
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Every year, when you get dud after dud, I start to hate the pack cover art. Usually by May, but I've already got that feeling in April.
I cringe looking at them, and Flatliners packs. -
It’s pure luck. I just brought a gold pack bundle and pulled Trea Turner as the reward.
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@cc807_mlbts said in MLB the show packs:
Hello so I was on diamond dynasty today and I opened 62 the show packs and the odds say one out of 50 contain a diamond and I still haven’t gotten a diamond yet so is it the game or am I just really unlucky
It's all luck and random. So far I've pulled 10 diamonds and half of them came from standard packs. I haven't bought any packs, but I had the 20 standard from the digital deluxe bundle, 4 Twitch packs, and then whatever packs I earned through the USA map, two runs on the mystery map twice, and a few collection packs. My results so far are below with the date pulled, the type of pack, the player, and the amount I sold them for.
4/1 standard Spencer Torkelson 23,198
4/1 Chase Shane Bieber 7,997
4/2 Twitch Mookie Betts 18992
4/6 Headliner Spencer Torkelson 18979
4/8 standard Starling Marte 7765
4/9 Ballin' pack Byron Buxton 12844
4/9 standard Corbin Burnes 29748
4/9 standard Corbin Burnes 28249
4/9 headliner Spencer Torkelson 16244
4/9 standard Luis Robert 10224 -
I pulled Trout from a 50 bundle (I'm NMS). It was stupid to buy a 50 bundle, but prices on silvers and bronzes are such right now that you can make most of that back if you don't get good pulls.
Now that I've pulled Trout NMS, I will recalibrate my expectations. It's the rarest of rare pulls, so I don't "deserve" good luck for the rest of the year.
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The one out of 50 odds are per pack. Don't fall for the gambler's fallacy that if you open 50 packs you will get a diamond. WIth that said packs are super streaky. I had pulled one diamond since early access. Then pulled one on Saturday and three yesterday including two choice packs. Nothing massive, Harper sold for over 20k otherwise, it was Sale, Machado and Ray.
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