The VERY early roster update investment prediction
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Yes the roster update just came out. I am 2/3 on past prediction (you can see my posts). I did not know that Desclafani would give up 500 runs in one inning. SDS has been aggressive with upgrades this year. Kevin Gausman has been lights out this year. Honestly I don't know if they use the three year average (what does this even mean) anymore because ... Vladdy, Karincheck, Corbin Burnes? Is this an exponential weighted decay with a half life of one month now? Whatever sells the game more I guess.
Kevin Gausman - SDS can literally upgrade ONE stat and it should be a boost to diamond. He has 76 SO in 64 innings. The Show Rating is 65 rating. His K/9 is currently 12th in the league. Pick a card to compare to and it does not make sense. His WHIP is 8th in the league. and the BB/9 is at 70 and H/9 is at 87.
***I am operating under the impression that they are weighing the stats with a one month half life. Let me know what you think. Sorry for the Lynn investments btw.
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This ones going into the cringe compilation, thanks friend.
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@zalot____psn said in The VERY early roster update investment prediction:
This ones going into the cringe compilation, thanks friend.
Cringe?? Did your mom finally let you out of the basement??? Half life refers to decay in mathematics. You can Google GARCH model. It is how people do statistical regression models to predict future performance. Half life is how people weigh current performance versus previous performance. For example, if my half life was 1 year for hitting... My hitting stats for this year would count 50% (hence "half") towards the weight of the calculation and the previous year would be 25%.
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