Market Crash Impending...?
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In all seriousness when is the live series market going to crash? Every diamond above a 90 has continued to rise and its incredibly annoying because I'm a trout, nado, degrom, scherzer, and verlander away from mickey mantle. I've pulled around $70 in packs but only pulled bellinger, when will it end?
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I’ll sell you Trout. I’ll probably pull another one next week after I smash another controller and monitor. That’s why I keep playing.
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70 dollars in packs is not much boss. Market has crashed for everything except 90+ people are not pulling as many high end diamonds and when they do they are locking them in. This is what is driving up the prices. I do agree Cole should not cost 180,000.
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@RON1NCAP0 said in Market Crash Impending...?:
I started a similar thread a week ago and all I got was wannabe economics experts saying these cards will be half price in a few weeks. Needless to saying they've all increased in price significantly since my post. It's out of control.
Only thing that's going to make high diamond Live Series cards really fall is making those cards more available either via flash sales of diamond choice packs or easily obtained through awards. Short of that, they just continue to rise because people lock them in to collections. Also, just when you think prices are starting to come down or forecast they may, a stub sale will inflate them again.
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I've said this about 10 times on this forum already, but the 90+ Live series diamonds must no be included in the typical 1:50 diamond odds for a typical pack. I think it is closer to 1:150 for the 90+ LS, and we should be told what it is! Since packs are the only way Live series are added to the market there are just not enough in the market to keep up with demand. I also do not see demand for these cards going down, as more people get closer to just needing these cards to complete collections. High diamond choice pack at 800 program stars next inning would help!
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@pbake12 said in Market Crash Impending...?:
I've said this about 10 times on this forum already, but the 90+ Live series diamonds must no be included in the typical 1:50 diamond odds for a typical pack. I think it is closer to 1:150 for the 90+ LS, and we should be told what it is! Since packs are the only way Live series are added to the market there are just not enough in the market to keep up with demand. I also do not see demand for these cards going down, as more people get closer to just needing these cards to complete collections. High diamond choice pack at 800 program stars next inning would help!
Yes, the high diamonds have lower odds. Check the odds on a guaranteed diamond pack the next time they have a flash sale.
Once people that want to do collections finish them they're going to sell them instead of locking them in, you might see prices come down a bit then.
Problem, or one of them, is that stubs are so easy to come by in this game. Like in 17 with my career, the easier it is to get stubs the higher prices will be.
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Man, I wish I "only pulled Bellinger", lol.
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@stewart1465 said in Market Crash Impending...?:
@RON1NCAP0 said in Market Crash Impending...?:
I started a similar thread a week ago and all I got was wannabe economics experts saying these cards will be half price in a few weeks. Needless to saying they've all increased in price significantly since my post. It's out of control.
Only thing that's going to make high diamond Live Series cards really fall is making those cards more available either via flash sales of diamond choice packs or easily obtained through awards. Short of that, they just continue to rise because people lock them in to collections. Also, just when you think prices are starting to come down or forecast they may, a stub sale will inflate them again.
I also think giving people other cards on par with the collection rewards could lower the value. By this time last year, there were 99s all over the place that people could buy, so the collections weren’t as valuable. This year, it’s like “I can work toward the collections...OR, I can snag that 96 Cy Young!!!”
Once people are able to go on the market and purchase 99 studs for like 80k outright, there will be less people willing to drop 100k on Justin Verlander.
You’re spot on about the stub sale...this is about to get bonkers. 400k sell now for Trout?
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I’m kicking myself for selling Scherzer last week when he got to $108k. Now debating whether to buy him back where he is now or hope he falls even just 10-15% to make the buyback suck a little less.
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@QNEEK said in Market Crash Impending...?:
I have the stubs to get Sheffield right now. I just don't want to drop 125k on Scherzer. I'm trying to wait for him to drop, but a part of me thinks that he won't drop.
He won’t drop. Buy him now.
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Idk if its just because its morning, but compare to when I calculated the price for the final 12 cards I need for the LS (3 days ago), the price is down 10k.
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Bit the bullet and bought him back for $125k. So frustrating to take a $25k loss -- i totally misread the market and thought his rise and other high diamonds was tied to the Live Event. And once the event was over, the market would course correct. Never happened. Just goes to show you that supply and demand cannot always be predicted.
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