@DriveByTrucker17 said in www.signstealingscandal.com:
@luv2bDad2013 said in www.signstealingscandal.com:
@DriveByTrucker17 said in www.signstealingscandal.com:
One small detail that I noticed a while back is that Marwin Gonzalez had the best year of his career by FAR in 2017.
144 wRC+
.907 OPS
4.0 fWAR
28.3 in Fangraphs’ Offense stat
Compared to his next best season:
111 wRC+
.759 OPS
1.5 fWAR
3.0 in Fangraphs’ Offense stat
Quite the large jump, and for only that one year. Didn’t put up numbers anywhere close to those before 2017, or in the two years following 2017.
The Astros cheated, that is very clear... What really catches my attention is that they ultimately chose to cheat and it resulted not only with them getting caught and in trouble; but it not only did not benefit them one bit, it actually made them worse at the plate.
Even looking at Marwin and his splits, he significantly hit better on the road than he did at home. The Astros had a better record on the road than they did at home. It doesn't excuse them and what happened, but the correlation of a better performance and them cheating is not there.
It definitely is strange that even with cheating they were still better on the road, but who’s to say they wouldn’t have been even worse at home without cheating? We’ll never know because there’s so many small details that can completely change a baseball game. One call can potentially alter who wins or loses, one inch can be the difference between a hit or an out, etc.
Not arguing with you, because you’re right. Just saying the cheating could’ve still possibly benefited them at home.
Marwin’s road BABIP was almost 50 points higher than his home BABIP in 2017, so he was certainly getting luckier on the road than at home.
Years ago, I had a coach tell me one time that my problem was I thought too much. I was analyzing everything and it slowed me down. He told me to stop thinking and just react. That is why we practice and train, so our bodies can react to the way we want it to in a game situation. Professional athletes can do this at a far greater success rate than anybody else.
That is the idea I base my theory on and why their splits were worse at home. The cheating was making them think too much, instead of just reacting by how they have trained their bodies to see the ball, hit the ball. Sure, there were moments of success they had, but the Astros have all the talent to be a great team. That is why they drafted their team, not because they were great at stealing signs, but they were phenomal athletes and baseball players. Then they tried to get cute, and it has hurt them in many ways.
Anyway, just my theory, that's it. There are probably holes in it, but that's what I got for you.