@ShowProdigy_MLBTS said in Where's the "Random" in RNG?:
@killerpresence4_MLBTS said in Where's the "Random" in RNG?:
@ShowProdigy_MLBTS said in Where's the "Random" in RNG?:
@killerpresence4_MLBTS said in Where's the "Random" in RNG?:
First thing, conjecture is not a valid way to begin an argument.
No offense, but conjecture is about all any of us have. And again, no offense, but imo your rebuttal to his conjecture was more conjecture.
You did a much better job of presenting your conjecture, but he could be exactly right and nothing in your reply offers quantifying fact or stats to suggest he's not correct.
I would have to say my own personal experience suggests diamond pulls are pretty much just random chance. But I, for sure, have zero foundation to support that. one way or the other.
Would it make perfect business sense that if SDS could generate more pack revenues through a well-researched and formulated method of "randomizing" diamond pulls they would? Irrefutably Yes most would agree.
And I don't think anyone would have to produce stats, facts, or a smoking gun to insinuate SDS would prefer making more money than less on their product and micro transactions. So some speculate they do..and that ain't anything more than following the money so to speak.
To speculate a company wants to make max bank through whatever method they hide behind the curtains is not "conspiracy theory". It's basically stating what you might do yourself if you held the title CFO of a software gaming company.
There is no perfect context in a debate where no one involved has the answer. You throw darts and sometimes you hit the bullseye and don't even know it.
But SDS does release their pack odds. That’s my point. It’s public knowledge. A diamond pull is 1:50 for normal packs. I think 1:10 or 15 in BIAH and same for Diamond duos. You can view those odds on the pack opening screen. So I have not offered conjecture to support my argument I’ve used the given info to base my argument on. Also I’m the the one questioning his premise. The burden of proof is not on me it is on him.
Sure, and perhaps they actually honor those odds. Understandably, it's all stats/probability but I opened 78 packs (that is accurate) before a diamond this year..Shane McClanahan (no excitement there) and have opened 50+ (stopped counting exactly) more w/o another diamond.
I've pulled 4 in Ballin' is a Habit packs. Which I haven't counted but guess I've opened less than 80 of those.
So both of my experiences would be Waaaay low. But, again, if you trust SDS odds I'm going to go on a huge streak of diamond pulls, or someone else out there is pulling one about every 7 packs or so. So, not sure whether those odds are your personal odds..or odds over the entire spectrum of customers that might also purchase packs with real money and thereby sucking up the odds of the non-pack-buying customers. LOL.
Who knows. This year, though, I get very little "rush" out of pulling diamonds just because they rain down on me in most of other facets of the game. Couple years ago I might have been stoked about that McClanahan card and 4 other BIAH (all 80's BTW) diamonds. This year I haven't used one of those.
The pack odds they release are across the spectrum. Those odds work out to 2 percent in normal packs and 5-10 percent for premium packs. They list the odds on the pack opening screen.