Some very depressing maths
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@MarioMendoza935_XBL You do you, but playing 9 is just more play for the same rewards.
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While technically true if a 99 is available I’m not gonna use a 92/93 on a theme team build of that same player. So a lot of those old 92/93s become binder fodder once the 99s hit. So missing that window by too much means those cards don’t ever get used.
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@GoozeFn_PSN packs are utterly useless in this game. Standard show packs . 1 in 50 to get the usual 85 diamond. 1 in 50! Means you can literally open 300 packs and not get a diamond. The odds are so bad.
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Plus of those precious few diamonds you could get an icon of 1.5K stub diamond player card further bringing down your odds of actually pulling anything of value. So the odds of pulling a diamond above 3K stubs is extremely rare, far worse than 1:50 packs. It’s a joke and should be significantly better odds just to keep players engaged.
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@SpawnOfDitka_XBL They’ve basically always been 1:50. I would never buy packs, but earning them is not useless. Playing vs cpu games instead of mini seasons is useless.
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@TripleH-4481_PSN Not true. The 1:50 is players not icons or uniforms.
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@GoozeFn_PSN im on count right now. Opened up 163 packs without a player diamond. Then i pulled an 85 out of the chase pack of course. Happened to be the same exact player I just got for winning 10 games in events. Now what's the odds of that. This s h I t is not random. Literally the same player I got in events opened the chase pack 50 bundle same exact player. Yeah right. The odds they put out are full of s h i t and if you believe otherwise we'll not sure what to tell you. The game pre determines what you are going to get. And then they claim odds on all of it. Its not random brother.
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@GoozeFn_PSN I work in the financial industry my entire life i know math and I know odds. I know what im looking at. And its not random. I promise you. The odds maybe correct yes. There is a difference. Between randomized odds and pre determined odds. Still odds but not the same.
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@GoozeFn_PSN Last year, I played mostly against the CPU (and the White Sox or Rockies), because I did not know any better.
This year, I only play in Mini-Season. I did the WBC several times. Won a lot of championships. Nothing to brag about.
I tried the Classic mini-season, but begun against a loaded 99 team, wich told me I was not ready to compete there lol
I unlock almost all the card in the New Thread one (except the one for wich you need to win 10 games at All-Star)
These days, I am in the Cityscapes Mini-Season, trying to unlock all the cards linked to a goal.
Next, I will do the same with Mural.
As for Team Affinity, I always play with a notebook next to me. I know exactly how many HR, R or Total Bases I still need for each team to progress and unlock the Jolt cards. Some (Cubs, Yankees, Red Sox, Mets) were easy. Other (Astros, Rangers) take a lot more time.
In Mini-Season play, I always try to build a line-up that will help me achieve goals in TA or Program AND in the season objectives. I am quite good at that, honnestly (if it can be consider a skill lol).
What are missing are the results.
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@SpawnOfDitka_XBL brother what does this even mean
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Yes, the same card pulls, often in the same pack, always a low tier card, happens WAY too often for it to be random chance. The overall odds of diamond pulls may be technically correct but the numbers are skewed very heavily with higher diamonds being far more rare than they let on.
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Given everyone knows packs are terrible the only people buying them must either be gambling addicts, have stubs to burn, or both.
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@GoozeFn_PSN im on count right now. Opened up 163 packs without a player diamond. Then i pulled an 85 out of the chase pack of course. Happened to be the same exact player I just got for winning 10 games in events. Now what's the odds of that. This s h I t is not random. Literally the same player I got in events opened the chase pack 50 bundle same exact player. Yeah right. The odds they put out are full of s h i t and if you believe otherwise we'll not sure what to tell you. The game pre determines what you are going to get. And then they claim odds on all of it. Its not random brother.
Preach. I’ll open a pack with 3 of the same commons. Odds of that are minuscule to impossible
SDS may report odds to fall in line within whatever guidelines at end of day. Their packs are trash and they know it
These are not anomalies that we’re just so unfortunate to be a part of. It’s complete BS
Pretend you’re a casino manager and wind the machines to fit the “odds” and call it a night
If the law says you must pay out x. They will reach X by end of day.
So maybe you’re in the window of good cards some day, hopefully. But don’t count on it
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@MarioMendoza935_XBL You do you, but playing 9 is just more play for the same rewards.
True. But there are some decent "repeatable" rewards. For example, there's a "Cityscapes" pack for every 10k pxp's. I can get one pack every two games. I can quicksell my inevitable duplicate for 4k. If I open 200 packs, that's 800k stubs and gets me LS Ohtani. That's only 400 games, which at 45 minutes apiece is 300 hours.
If my wife sees this post she'll murder me...
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@MarioMendoza935_XBL You do you, but playing 9 is just more play for the same rewards.
True. But there are some decent "repeatable" rewards. For example, there's a "Cityscapes" pack for every 10k pxp's. I can get one pack every two games. I can quicksell my inevitable duplicate for 4k. If I open 200 packs, that's 800k stubs and gets me LS Ohtani. That's only 400 games, which at 45 minutes apiece is 300 hours.
If my wife sees this post she'll murder me..
Haha. Love you man. Best get off of here she’s loading up an event game behind your back
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@ApolloZ_99_MLBTS Google randomized odds vs pre determined odds. MLB the show runs pack odds based off pre determined odds. Meaning the game gives you what it wants prior to opening a pack. Its not the same as random. Nothing about pack openings in this game is random. Most people that play this game are young or just not educated enough to understand this. Which is ok. But I know and now you know. The predatory nature is real.
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Randomized Odds
How it works: The outcome is determined dynamically in real-time by a Random Number Generator (RNG) the exact millisecond an event is triggered (e.g., when you hit a button). No outside influence can alter the result, and every attempt is statistically independent of the last.
Perception: Results feel completely random because the odds are reset and calculated at the moment of action.
Common Examples: Rolling a pair of dice, spinning a roulette wheel, and drawing cards from a freshly shuffled, physicalPredetermined Odds
How it works: All possible outcomes and the sequence of winning tickets are decided before a participant even interacts with the game. The overall math is fixed to guarantee a specific return-to-player or prize distribution over time.
Perception: The event creates an illusion of choice, but the backend system already knows what you will get.
Common Examples: Instant scratch-off lottery tickets, loot boxes, and certain digital card-pull systems. -
@ApolloZ_99_MLBTS Google randomized odds vs pre determined odds. MLB the show runs pack odds based off pre determined odds. Meaning the game gives you what it wants prior to opening a pack. Its not the same as random. Nothing about pack openings in this game is random. Most people that play this game are young or just not educated enough to understand this. Which is ok. But I know and now you know. The predatory nature is real.
It’s why I laugh when people say “you don’t understand odds and probabilities!” On here or Reddit
Yeah, I don’t understand predetermined probabilities, [censored]. Then I motion to my crotch, or my Dog’s.
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@JenkinMeyer_PSN exactly I just posted the difference above. This game for a fact has pre determined odds.
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@SpawnOfDitka_XBL Does that matter though? From an individual perspective, it will still be "random" unless they are specifically targeting your account to not receive something? The pre-determined nature of the odds only guarantees a deployment of a set number of each card, not necessarily to specific people, right? Regarding the back to back same 85 diamond you mention earlier, are you saying you think the game design is specifically to make sure that you don't get a diamond until you get a diamond elsewhere and then it gives you the same one? I know this is anecdotal, but I had a streak earlier this year of about 150 packs without a diamond and I had a streak with 3 diamonds in 30 packs. I have also pulled diamonds back to back a couple of times. It may have been pre-determined that that was the specific pulls my account was going to get on those specific packs, but still felt to me to be pretty random whether it was pre-determined or not.
