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Fix the pull percentage!

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Diamond Dynasty
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  • the_dragon1912_PSNT Offline
    the_dragon1912_PSNT Offline
    the_dragon1912_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    2% chance in every pack. It's bad luck, not broken

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • lewisnadasurf1_PSNL Offline
    lewisnadasurf1_PSNL Offline
    lewisnadasurf1_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    Or just use the stubs to buy the players?

    I think it’s been about the 50/1 you’ve just been unlucky bro

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • TheGoaler_PSNT Offline
    TheGoaler_PSNT Offline
    TheGoaler_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #4

    @grow-fame_xbl said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Just opened 130+ packs and got one diamond throughout all of them and 10 gold tops. Fix your pull percentage or I will go to a game that has higher chances.

    Like RBI Baseball '21?
    It has improved! 🤪

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    Sounds like someone doesn’t understand how probability works.

    dirtybob007_PSND 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • GixxerRyder750_PSNG Online
    GixxerRyder750_PSNG Online
    GixxerRyder750_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #6

    Should've opened 150. They're all in there.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBL
    wrote on last edited by
    #7

    150 and I would pull an extra gold. There should be algorithms to track that. It can't be that hard to figure out an algorithm that helps the consumer at that point.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Hikes83_PSNH Offline
    Hikes83_PSNH Offline
    Hikes83_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #8

    Im sorry, I’m the one who evened out the probabilities. Just pulled two diamonds out of the headliners

    yankblan_PSNY 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    Welcome to gambling. Here’s a tip. The house always wins.

    1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • dirtybob007_PSND Offline
    dirtybob007_PSND Offline
    dirtybob007_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by dirtybob007_PSN
    #10

    @raylewissb47_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Sounds like someone doesn’t understand how probability works.

    I bet you are fun at parties. Please go all John Nash on our arses and math out.

    RayLewisSB47_PSNR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBL
    wrote on last edited by Grow Fame_XBL
    #11

    Like think about the dude who spends $300 on a game and gets one diamond. Why can't these ultimate team-style games come up with some sort of defense against this? I don't care if the house wins the majority of the time but a $270 gain on a $300 buy-in is just ridiculous. I'd have better odds playing at a casino lol.

    lewisnadasurf1_PSNL 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #12

    @dirtybob007_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @raylewissb47_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Sounds like someone doesn’t understand how probability works.

    I bet you are fun at parties. Please go all John Nash on our asses and math out.

    I am quite fun at parties. Thank you. You are not guaranteed a diamond every 50 packs. It’s based on the total population of packs that have been opened. Some will get diamonds more often and others, like yourself, will get them less often than the posted odds. In the end, it will still come out to 2%. You are just one the wrong end of it.

    dirtybob007_PSND 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • dirtybob007_PSND Offline
    dirtybob007_PSND Offline
    dirtybob007_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #13

    @raylewissb47_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @dirtybob007_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @raylewissb47_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Sounds like someone doesn’t understand how probability works.

    I bet you are fun at parties. Please go all John Nash on our asses and math out.

    I am quite fun at parties. Thank you. You are not guaranteed a diamond every 50 packs. It’s based on the total population of packs that have been opened. Some will get diamonds more often and others, like yourself, will get them less often than the posted odds. In the end, it will still come out to 2%. You are just one the wrong end of it.

    Josh Nash wouldn't be impressed with that. There are only two numbers. I want more math please.

    RayLewisSB47_PSNR 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • lewisnadasurf1_PSNL Offline
    lewisnadasurf1_PSNL Offline
    lewisnadasurf1_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #14

    @grow-fame_xbl said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Like think about the dude who spends $300 on a game and gets one diamond. Why can't these ultimate team-style games come up with some sort of defense against this? I don't care if the house wins the majority of the time but a $270 gain on a $300 buy-in is just ridiculous. I'd have better odds playing at a casino lol.

    They do. In fact. SDS is really good at it.

    You can spend $300 and get 450k stubs. You can buy like 25 teams with that. But. You decided to try your luck with packs.

    EA on the other hand you can only buy points. Meaning you can’t buy coins/stubs. Meaning you have to gamble your way.

    SDS do it the right way.

    Grow Fame_XBLG 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBL
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #15

    @lewisnadasurf1_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @grow-fame_xbl said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Like think about the dude who spends $300 on a game and gets one diamond. Why can't these ultimate team-style games come up with some sort of defense against this? I don't care if the house wins the majority of the time but a $270 gain on a $300 buy-in is just ridiculous. I'd have better odds playing at a casino lol.

    They do. In fact. SDS is really good at it.

    You can spend $300 and get 450k stubs. You can buy like 25 teams with that. But. You decided to try your luck with packs.

    EA on the other hand you can only buy points. Meaning you can’t buy coins/stubs. Meaning you have to gamble your way.

    SDS do it the right way.

    Already have completed multiple teams. Makes getting the 99 overalls nearly impossible. That's the frustration. You'd think trying your chances on the packs would be something the game would encourage you to do rather than spending $350 on players.

    lewisnadasurf1_PSNL 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #16

    @dirtybob007_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @raylewissb47_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @dirtybob007_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @raylewissb47_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Sounds like someone doesn’t understand how probability works.

    I bet you are fun at parties. Please go all John Nash on our asses and math out.

    I am quite fun at parties. Thank you. You are not guaranteed a diamond every 50 packs. It’s based on the total population of packs that have been opened. Some will get diamonds more often and others, like yourself, will get them less often than the posted odds. In the end, it will still come out to 2%. You are just one the wrong end of it.

    Josh Nash wouldn't be impressed with that. There are only two numbers. I want more math please.

    I’m sorry I’m not a statistician to go deep into it but anyone that gambles knows the posted odds are not for each individual person to win. It’s over the long term. 100 or some odd packs is too small of a sample size to determine if the odds are correct when millions of packs are opened.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • lewisnadasurf1_PSNL Offline
    lewisnadasurf1_PSNL Offline
    lewisnadasurf1_PSN
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #17

    @grow-fame_xbl said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @lewisnadasurf1_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @grow-fame_xbl said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Like think about the dude who spends $300 on a game and gets one diamond. Why can't these ultimate team-style games come up with some sort of defense against this? I don't care if the house wins the majority of the time but a $270 gain on a $300 buy-in is just ridiculous. I'd have better odds playing at a casino lol.

    They do. In fact. SDS is really good at it.

    You can spend $300 and get 450k stubs. You can buy like 25 teams with that. But. You decided to try your luck with packs.

    EA on the other hand you can only buy points. Meaning you can’t buy coins/stubs. Meaning you have to gamble your way.

    SDS do it the right way.

    Already have completed multiple teams. Makes getting the 99 overalls nearly impossible. That's the frustration. You'd think trying your chances on the packs would be something the game would encourage you to do rather than spending $350 on players.

    But why do they bother with the diamond animations? It’s all to release chemicals
    In your brain to make you buy packs cos it feels good to get one.

    Grow Fame_XBLG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSNR Offline
    RayLewisSB47_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #18

    I have yet to buy any packs this year and have pulled DeGrom, Hader, Bellinger, and at least one other low diamond from free packs. Maybe the pack gods are not with you.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBL
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #19

    @lewisnadasurf1_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @grow-fame_xbl said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @lewisnadasurf1_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    @grow-fame_xbl said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    Like think about the dude who spends $300 on a game and gets one diamond. Why can't these ultimate team-style games come up with some sort of defense against this? I don't care if the house wins the majority of the time but a $270 gain on a $300 buy-in is just ridiculous. I'd have better odds playing at a casino lol.

    They do. In fact. SDS is really good at it.

    You can spend $300 and get 450k stubs. You can buy like 25 teams with that. But. You decided to try your luck with packs.

    EA on the other hand you can only buy points. Meaning you can’t buy coins/stubs. Meaning you have to gamble your way.

    SDS do it the right way.

    Already have completed multiple teams. Makes getting the 99 overalls nearly impossible. That's the frustration. You'd think trying your chances on the packs would be something the game would encourage you to do rather than spending $350 on players.

    But why do they bother with the diamond animations? It’s all to release chemicals
    In your brain to make you buy packs cos it feels good to get one.

    No, because I've already bought every other player in the A.L. except for Mike Trout and I thought there would be some chance of getting him lmao. But I guess I just have to pay $300 or it's 1 in a million to get him cheaper than that.

    formallyforearmsF Ch-76-1908_PSNC 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • MathMan5072_PSNM Offline
    MathMan5072_PSNM Offline
    MathMan5072_PSN
    wrote on last edited by
    #20

    For perspective, if you open 130 standard packs at a 2% success rate, there is a 7.2% chance of pulling 0 diamonds and a19.1% chance of getting exactly 1 diamond. So, 26.4% chance (off by rounding error) of getting 1 or fewer.

    That means there is a 73.4% chance of getting 2 or more diamonds in 130 standard packs.

    This does not take into account the toppers.

    Grow Fame_XBLG dirtybob007_PSND the_dragon1912_PSNT 3 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBLG Offline
    Grow Fame_XBL
    replied to Guest on last edited by
    #21

    @mathman5072_psn said in Fix the pull percentage!:

    For perspective, if you open 130 standard packs at a 2% success rate, there is a 7.2% chance of pulling 0 diamonds and a19.1% chance of getting exactly 1 diamond. So, 26.4% chance (off by rounding error) of getting 1 or fewer.

    That means there is a 73.4% chance of getting 2 or more diamonds in 130 standard packs.

    This does not take into account the toppers.

    Bottom 20%, this post is for you!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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