@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@Untchable704 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@copassatguy said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

@phillydave35 said in More Free Packs=Lower Odds:

The 1 in 50? Don’t think so, but if it is, it’s not accurate at all.

98% chance per each individual pack not having a diamond player is accurate

Having more packs does not increase your odds. Same chance per pack

What theory are you using to say this? Based on a 2% per pack odds, How many packs would you say ia diamond should come out using your math expertise? Interested to hear it.

No expertise or theory needed to explain... every pack has same odds 1:50 of having a diamond in it.

There is no magical number of packs to buy that will produce a diamond player. Sure the more packs you buy the likelihood of getting a diamond from a pack is certain to happen at some point but the odds are not in your favor

That really doesn’t say anything tho. It’s basically says 1:50 odds shouldn’t produce 1 in 50 with nothing to actually prove that. I’d like to see what it’s based on.

Ok... get a standard deck of 52 cards and take 2 out. Let's say the ace of spades is in the 50 cards and this represents a diamond player. Have someone shuffle the cards and you choose one card and your goal is to select the ace of spades. After selecting the card you put it back in the deck and it is reshuffled for the next card draw. Do this 50 times and let me know how many times you select the ace of spades. This is what the odds are based on.

and this was confirmed where?

This is confirmed everywhere as this is how probability works. Not really hard to understand. The probability of getting a diamond player is around 2% but the probability of not getting a diamond player is 98% PER PACK.

It even says on the pack odds screen about the probability of getting diamond, gold, silver, or bronze players.

I understand probability, but the math doesn't add up, by your "probability" diamonds would be pulled roughly once every 1000 packs or so. I don't get one every 50 packs, but if i totaled up my packs i'd say it been close to 1 in every 60-65 packs, which shoots your claim to shame. So once again, where is it confirmed? Are the odds they list per pack or....what they're claiming the amount of packs to pull one is?

Obviously you don't... as your 1 in roughly a 1000 packs "math" suggests.

Pack odds screen has your confirmation which I mentioned before:

The probability of this pack containing 1 or more of the following items
1:50 85 Diamond or better Player Item
1:10 80 Gold or better Player Item
1:3 75 Silver or better Player Item
1:1 65 Bronze or better Player Item

Probability = the extent to which an event is likely to occur, measured by the ratio of the favorable cases to the whole number of cases possible. So it is likely that you would get 1 diamond player out of 50 packs, but it isn't a guarantee. You could get between 0-50 diamond players from 50 packs.

Pack is singular, that means 1, so per pack... nothing there about how many packs it should take, or any guarantee of a diamond player in your next 50 packs.

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