50+ packs and..
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No diamonds
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Sounds like a statistics and gambling problem
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Hello. I enjoy statistics. So lets run the statistics... The probability of pulling at least one diamond in 50 packs where the odds of pulling a diamond is 1 in 50. Which means each pack has a 2% chance of pulling a diamond. Easiest way to calculate is finding the odds of pulling zero diamonds.
The probabilty of failing 50 times in a row is: P(zero diamonds) = (.98)^50 = .364
That means there is a 36.4% chance that in 50 packs you pull zero diamonds.
There is a 63.6% chance of pulling at least one diamond in 50 packs.Yeah it sucks, but it is by no means a sure thing that pulling 50 packs guarantees you a diamond.
DISCLAIMER This is of course based on the presumption that SDS is indeed telling the truth when it comes to their pack odds.
(I was incredibly bored when I came across this post so thank you for giving me something to do)
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I pulled Logan Gilbert in the first pack I opened this year... I've also had 2 and 3 diamonds in one pack twice each already (I get that to happen every year). NMS and not a streamer either...lol
