Pack rip just now
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@charterbus_psn said in Pack rip just now:
@untchable704_psn said in Pack rip just now:
Today is not a hot pack day. Those days are gone. They’ve found the sweet spot on losing. I’ve opened a lot of packs and I’m guessing they’re running around at 1:90 nowadays. Add that to low values and half the packs have 10 stub commons as the middle 3 cards and it’s reached the time to not touch anything but free packs.
I killed it while the getting was good tho.
This is just standard variance. You were getting lucky now your not, exactly how odds work. Some people get unlucky then get 4 diamonds in 15 packs. Also exactly how odds work.
Ive got a Diamond from a silver player pack and a BIAH with two diamonds this year and never before. Variance, odds, stats evening out over time, sometimes time is years but it’s NEVER a week or a day.
It would be standard variance if when packs were good I was pulling way over a 1:50 rate. I was not. I was just pulling bigger ones and values were at a point it could float bad runs. There was an obvious nerf on their packs. It’s whatever it is at this point because I got mine. I’m just warning people that ship has sailed. If you pull packs with stubs now you’re just throwing them away.
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@dodgerslakers1 said in Pack rip just now:
Haven’t bought a single pack and I have all of AL done just a heads up. Don’t buy packs lmao
You are cool bro. Age 5 or 6?
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@doihearbossmusic said in Pack rip just now:
@king-cals_xbl said in Pack rip just now:
Nice try ramone
Haha
paCkS aRe hOT bRo, JUst pUlLEd eiGHt DiaMOnDs iN tEn PacKS!!
You are cool bro. Age 5 or 6?
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I lead the league in pulling free agent commons......no wonder there are so many free packs to earn
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@texas10pt_psn said in Pack rip just now:
I lead the league in pulling free agent commons......no wonder there are so many free packs to earn
I didn't get any out of the headliners today.
Still a good day though. -
@untchable704_psn said in Pack rip just now:
@charterbus_psn said in Pack rip just now:
@untchable704_psn said in Pack rip just now:
Today is not a hot pack day. Those days are gone. They’ve found the sweet spot on losing. I’ve opened a lot of packs and I’m guessing they’re running around at 1:90 nowadays. Add that to low values and half the packs have 10 stub commons as the middle 3 cards and it’s reached the time to not touch anything but free packs.
I killed it while the getting was good tho.
This is just standard variance. You were getting lucky now your not, exactly how odds work. Some people get unlucky then get 4 diamonds in 15 packs. Also exactly how odds work.
Ive got a Diamond from a silver player pack and a BIAH with two diamonds this year and never before. Variance, odds, stats evening out over time, sometimes time is years but it’s NEVER a week or a day.
It would be standard variance if when packs were good I was pulling way over a 1:50 rate. I was not. I was just pulling bigger ones and values were at a point it could float bad runs. There was an obvious nerf on their packs. It’s whatever it is at this point because I got mine. I’m just warning people that ship has sailed. If you pull packs with stubs now you’re just throwing them away.
The variance on less than 2% isn’t even measurable with packs. You would need to open over 100,000 packs to even have a clue. Literally all your packs and the packs of everyone in this thread means nothing as far as “nerfing” or “hot packs”.
You, like everyone else are still balancing the variance in packs from 3 years ago, 4 years ago, 15 years from now you’ll be doing the same thing. It’s 0.0196% you aren’t eyeing that out on packs over a couple weeks.
The value of packs is changing for sure, cards arent with us much, that isn’t variance it’s ROI or +EV
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Opened 2 Headliners just because and received utter trash. I have pulled DJ Lemahieu and Kershaw from BIAH packs and otherwise even my BIAH are low golds at best. No more packs for me unless they are free.
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I usually do not get anything great in packs, but, I did get a notification yesterday that one of my PSN friends pulled Trout from a standard pack....for whatever that is worth.
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@icame2winthegame said in Pack rip just now:
@doihearbossmusic said in Pack rip just now:
@king-cals_xbl said in Pack rip just now:
Nice try ramone
Haha
paCkS aRe hOT bRo, JUst pUlLEd eiGHt DiaMOnDs iN tEn PacKS!!
You are cool bro. Age 5 or 6?
What?
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@texas10pt_psn said in Pack rip just now:
I lead the league in pulling free agent commons......no wonder there are so many free packs to earn
I would certainly bet you on that. I had the 200 free agent collection done within 2 weeks of early release. About the same time I had all the TA's done.
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@d_e_m_i_s_e_psn said in Pack rip just now:
@texas10pt_psn said in Pack rip just now:
I lead the league in pulling free agent commons......no wonder there are so many free packs to earn
I would certainly bet you on that. I had the 200 free agent collection done within 2 weeks of early release. About the same time I had all the TA's done.
I’ll bet any amount of money with anybody on that. On any card in the game really. I QS my stadiums, cheap equipment, unlockables and sponsorships today and made 350k.and that isn’t the first time I’ve done it. Let’s just say I open a lot of packs.
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