Top Live Series Card Prices....
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Anyone have a theory why (or know why) Degrom, Trout, and Verlander are still so high and rising while Arenado and Scherzer have dipped significantly...
What changed in the last 2 weeks? Rating have not changed - are there that many more Scherzer and Arenado cards in the market driving down the price.... Seems odd...
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Because the latter two dropped below 90, while the previous 3 never have. There is a steep statistical probability drop off when it comes to a 90 overall and an 89 overall. More probable means more exist in circulation thus the price drop
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@Binzitari1 said in Top Live Series Card Prices....:
Because the latter two dropped below 90, while the previous 3 never have. There is a steep statistical probability drop off when it comes to a 90 overall and an 89 overall. More probable means more exist in circulation thus the price drop
This. It is the only reason.
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89 overall and lower diamonds are easier to pull (not to mention get from 12 win event runs, 9 win BR runs etc), so because those two cards aren't 90+ anymore, there is way more supply coming in.
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Yes - that does make sense - just seemed like Scherzer had dropped down a week before - now he lost half again value again this past week with no rating change...guess that may be happening to Arenado this week. Appreciate the info - knew there was a reason out there i wasnt seeing.
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@elmoshu said in Top Live Series Card Prices....:
Yes - that does make sense - just seemed like Scherzer had dropped down a week before - now he lost half again value again this past week with no rating change...guess that may be happening to Arenado this week. Appreciate the info - knew there was a reason out there i wasnt seeing.
I think adding to the lowing of their overall rating, we had that pack sale last weekend and a bunch of packs dropped int eh new conquest and showdown. Lots of new inventory out there of Scherzer and Arenado.
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Here is the answer: in the beginning of the year, there were only 7 LS cards above 90 meaning that if you were lucky enough to pack a 90+ LS card, you had a ~1/7 chance of getting any one particular player but you were guaranteed a high priced card.
Belli, Nolan, max, and Cole all dropped below 90 overall for at least some period in time so their prices were depressed, but even more importantly, is the number of players who rose to 90+.
Now there are (I think) 13 LS cards above 90+ so if you do get a lucky draw, you only have a 3/13 chance of landing degrom/trout/verlander and a 10/13 chance of landing Soto/freeman/etc. so the odds of landing one of the most expensive cards in the game has actually dropped. Now imagine if one of the 89’s has a good post season run and gets promoted to 90+, the odds will further deteriorate. Fortunately for you, people will continue completing collections and sds will probably have a pack sale again, so in the long run, the value of these cards will decline, but not as rapidly as earlier in the year.
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