<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Flash Sale Question]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">I’m away right now, how long the the sale last to in central time?</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/topic/83473/flash-sale-question</link><generator>RSS for Node</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 06:54:05 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://forums.theshow.com/topic/83473.rss" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 20:39:09 GMT</pubDate><ttl>60</ttl><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Wed, 17 Jun 2026 01:39:38 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">Took a chance!  Only meant to buy one pack but the menus were so snappy today ended up buying three.  Unfortunately, spent the majority of my stubs with nothing to show for it.  The quest for live series completion continues.</p>
<p dir="auto">Congrats to all who made out well!</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764634</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764634</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Raiding__Fridges_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 01:39:38 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Wed, 17 Jun 2026 01:29:07 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<blockquote>
<p dir="auto"><a class="plugin-mentions-user plugin-mentions-a" href="/user/jdhalfrack_psn" aria-label="Profile: JDHalfrack_PSN">@<bdi>JDHalfrack_PSN</bdi></a> <a href="/post/764605">said</a>:</p>
<p dir="auto"><a class="plugin-mentions-user plugin-mentions-a" href="/user/teak2112_mlbts" aria-label="Profile: Teak2112_MLBTS">@<bdi>Teak2112_MLBTS</bdi></a> are the stated odds 1 out of 26 for Ohtani?  If so, that’s crazy.</p>
</blockquote>
<p dir="auto">It was 1/13 for 93+ and 1/26 for 95+<br />
So that breaks down to 1/13 chance for a gatekeeper and then 50/50 which one it is.</p>
<p dir="auto">Of course, the smart play was still to buy them outright if you had the stubs.  No idea how low they dipped though.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764633</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764633</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Teak2112_MLBTS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 01:29:07 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Wed, 17 Jun 2026 00:03:37 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto"><a class="plugin-mentions-user plugin-mentions-a" href="/user/teak2112_mlbts" aria-label="Profile: Teak2112_MLBTS">@<bdi>Teak2112_MLBTS</bdi></a> are the stated odds 1 out of 26 for Ohtani?  If so, that’s crazy.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764605</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764605</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JDHalfrack_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 00:03:37 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:59:33 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">Allowed myself to purchase 1 LS choice packs and got 89 Wheeler. Underwhelming but needed him anyways. I nabbed Ohtani for 685k. Will not lock him in if shoots back up to 900k+ I'll unload him and wait for the next flash sale. Waiting  to see if Judge goes to under  430k if he does Ill grab him too. Not holding my breath. I'll probably knock  out 2 smaller ones probably Skubal and Rameriz. Wait for the next flash sale to nab Judge.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764604</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764604</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[DrBear100_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:59:33 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:53:02 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<blockquote>
<p dir="auto"><a class="plugin-mentions-user plugin-mentions-a" href="/user/teak2112_mlbts" aria-label="Profile: Teak2112_MLBTS">@<bdi>Teak2112_MLBTS</bdi></a> <a href="/post/764593">said</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p dir="auto"><a class="plugin-mentions-user plugin-mentions-a" href="/user/nwostunna_psn" aria-label="Profile: NWOStunna_PSN">@<bdi>NWOStunna_PSN</bdi></a> <a href="/post/764576">said</a>:</p>
<p dir="auto">It is a [censored] flash sale for sure.  Free pack is nice BUT an actual flash sale on like Chase Packs would be more appropriate.</p>
</blockquote>
<p dir="auto">This might be the first flash sale this early in the season that has a favorable expected value.  1/26 chance Judge * 500000 + 1/26 Ohtani * 750000 *11/13 7000 (worst case scenario) = 54000</p>
<p dir="auto">Of course its still RNG and if you dont pull either gatekeeper you will eat a loss, but typically for flash sales the expected value is still lower than the pack cost.</p>
<p dir="auto">Probability of pulling at least one of the gatekeepers in 3 packs is only 21%.</p>
</blockquote>
<p dir="auto">i got lucky i got ohtani in my 3rd one. lckily i had stubs to blow from my good results from last weeks roster update. i got a sanchez and wheeler as my other 2.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764600</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764600</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[MikeB14085_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:53:02 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:13:24 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<blockquote>
<p dir="auto"><a class="plugin-mentions-user plugin-mentions-a" href="/user/nwostunna_psn" aria-label="Profile: NWOStunna_PSN">@<bdi>NWOStunna_PSN</bdi></a> <a href="/post/764576">said</a>:</p>
<p dir="auto">It is a [censored] flash sale for sure.  Free pack is nice BUT an actual flash sale on like Chase Packs would be more appropriate.</p>
</blockquote>
<p dir="auto">This might be the first flash sale this early in the season that has a favorable expected value.  1/26 chance Judge * 500000 + 1/26 Ohtani * 750000 *11/13 7000 (worst case scenario) = 54000</p>
<p dir="auto">Of course its still RNG and if you dont pull either gatekeeper you will eat a loss, but typically for flash sales the expected value is still lower than the pack cost.</p>
<p dir="auto">Probability of pulling at least one of the gatekeepers in 3 packs is only 21%.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764593</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764593</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Teak2112_MLBTS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:13:24 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:00:37 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<blockquote>
<p dir="auto"><a class="plugin-mentions-user plugin-mentions-a" href="/user/mikeb14085_psn" aria-label="Profile: MikeB14085_PSN">@<bdi>MikeB14085_PSN</bdi></a> <a href="/post/764574">said</a>:</p>
<p dir="auto">i bought the 3 choice packs and managed to get my ohtani finally now i just need judge to complete live series. luckily my upgrade selections all hit so i had lots of stubs i made with that update. What is this rising rookie pack is it some new collection?</p>
</blockquote>
<p dir="auto">Rookie pack was cards added to the cityscapes and mural collections</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764587</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764587</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[PAinPA_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:00:37 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 21:58:51 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">It is a [censored] flash sale for sure.  Free pack is nice BUT an actual flash sale on like Chase Packs would be more appropriate.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764576</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764576</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[NWOStunna_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 21:58:51 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 21:54:33 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">i bought the 3 choice packs and managed to get my ohtani finally now i just need judge to complete live series. luckily my upgrade selections all hit so i had lots of stubs i made with that update. What is this rising rookie pack is it some new collection?</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764574</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764574</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[MikeB14085_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 21:54:33 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 21:23:02 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">Yeah, I am waiting to see if Ohtani moves lower to 700k threshold. Hopefully upper 600's. I will move on him if he's in that neighborhood.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764572</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764572</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[DrBear100_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 21:23:02 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 20:46:10 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">This flash sale sucks. It’s a free pack and a live series pack.</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764555</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764555</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Joeflakes_XBL]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 20:46:10 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 20:43:44 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">Thanks, I should be able to get on by then if these servers aren’t still broken lol</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764552</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764552</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[b-dub_butter42_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 20:43:44 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reply to Flash Sale Question on Tue, 16 Jun 2026 20:42:32 GMT]]></title><description><![CDATA[<p dir="auto">9:30 I think</p>
]]></description><link>https://forums.theshow.com/post/764549</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://forums.theshow.com/post/764549</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[GCoblentz_PSN]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 20:42:32 GMT</pubDate></item></channel></rss>