<![CDATA[Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators?]]>I have been seeing many posts by people saying their pack pulls have been coming in significantly lower than the published odds for those packs lately. The thought occurred to me. Who is holding SDS Studios (and all game developers that have loot boxes for that matter) accountable?

What is stopping SDS Studios from just listing pack odds, but not actually seeding packs with those odds? Could they just be faking the odds? Is there some regulator that actually audits these things, or are these game companies doing loot boxes/packs just on the "honor" system for abiding by their stated odds?

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/topic/81773/do-card-pack-odds-get-audited-by-any-independent-regulatorsRSS for NodeTue, 07 Apr 2026 20:32:24 GMTTue, 07 Apr 2026 10:42:56 GMT60<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 19:50:36 GMT]]>Just so everyone can learn something. 50-1 odds in NO WAY means that out of 50 packs you are guaranteed a diamond pull. What odds mean is that for EVERY 1 pack it contains a 50-1 chance that it contains a diamond pulls. It is still a chance and luck factor, and why it is possible to both go WAY over the odds in not pulling a diamond and then also pull 5 diamonds in 10 packs. Odds are not a guarantee, so please stop acting like it is fraud when it is just luck. What better odds get more packs by grinding

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/746009https://forums.theshow.com/post/746009Tue, 07 Apr 2026 19:50:36 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 19:45:58 GMT]]>@SiberiaTigerCub_PSN

Yep and I bet most people don’t realize that. It’s in the fine print but people think they have the same odds to pull all diamonds when that isn’t close to the case.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745999https://forums.theshow.com/post/745999Tue, 07 Apr 2026 19:45:58 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 18:25:17 GMT]]>@TripleH-4481_PSN That right there is the crux of my issue then. Not all diamond cards are created equally. It would be like entering a raffle to win a new car. Sure, you might have 1 in 10,000 chance of winning a car, but let's say there are 100 cars getting raffled off. Of those 100 cars, 99 of them are Geo Metros, while the other 1 car is a Mercedes S-Class. Sure, both are cars, but not the same calibre.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745963https://forums.theshow.com/post/745963Tue, 07 Apr 2026 18:25:17 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 18:10:44 GMT]]>@SiberiaTigerCub_PSN

Yes, for sure. Ohtani and Judge were listed odds of 1/12,500. So that percentage is waaaayyy lower than pulling 85 Max Fried. Lower diamonds have much higher pull rates which is how the 1:50 odds is technically correct but not player friendly.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745955https://forums.theshow.com/post/745955Tue, 07 Apr 2026 18:10:44 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 17:52:31 GMT]]>@NWOStunna_PSN it is fixed after chase pack 1.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745950https://forums.theshow.com/post/745950Tue, 07 Apr 2026 17:52:31 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 17:51:17 GMT]]>@Teak2112_MLBTS I got three diamonds, including JRam in my loot from beating NT mini seasons last night. It can happen, it just is rare (as it should be).

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745949https://forums.theshow.com/post/745949Tue, 07 Apr 2026 17:51:17 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:50:29 GMT]]>@Pergo_MLBTS I would imagine you are correct. If word ever got out about fake pack odds, that would open the game studio open to a lawsuit for damages equal to all packs purchased.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745925https://forums.theshow.com/post/745925Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:50:29 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:49:59 GMT]]>Odds?
1/50 show packs have a diamond?
Now that’s just diamonds, not 90+ live series which we are really after. I’d say 1-50 is about right.

Ballin is supposed to be 1 in 5, which I don’t think that’s even close. I’d say 1-5 I get double golds. It’s like 1-25 I get a diamond.

Chase Packs should be a diamond100% all the time and they are not. Getting a gold in chase packs is infuriating. That needs fixed.

Do these odds should familiar to everyone?

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745924https://forums.theshow.com/post/745924Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:49:59 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:47:14 GMT]]>Whether they are audited by any independent regulators I have no idea, but the people holding them accountable for the odds are likely their lawyers. I doubt they are willing to open themselves up to lawsuits just to keep you or I from getting a couple more 85 diamond pulls. The stated odds are already a long shot as it is, so I just don't see why they would need to fudge anything to make them worse.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745922https://forums.theshow.com/post/745922Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:47:14 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:41:44 GMT]]>@SavageSteve74_PSN That's great transparency, but again, all internal. Nothing to say those published pull rates aren't faked (I don't think they are for the record). I wouldn't put it past EA with NHL and Madden to pull shenanigans such as faking published pack pull rates.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745917https://forums.theshow.com/post/745917Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:41:44 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:33:01 GMT]]>@SiberiaTigerCub_PSN

Absolutely there is and they openly publish the pull rates for any specific card from a pack on their website.

https://mlb26.theshow.com/drop_rates

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745912https://forums.theshow.com/post/745912Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:33:01 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:32:31 GMT]]>@aaronjw76_PSN Actually, taxes generally lead to inflated prices. That tax is always taken into consideration in the Selling prices. Without the tax, a seller could sell a card for a bit less, and still see more profit.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745911https://forums.theshow.com/post/745911Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:32:31 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:30:56 GMT]]>@aaronjw76_PSN No, I think it would just start the market gaining volume, which it sorely needs. There is no margins in the community market. All cards, the sell price is within 10% of the buy price, and people aren't even bothering to use the market anymore.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745910https://forums.theshow.com/post/745910Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:30:56 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:29:10 GMT]]>@TripleH-4481_PSN That's a great point to bring up. Not all diamonds are created the same either. I feel there is too much of a gap between the top and lower tier of diamonds they put out there. Do they weigh certain diamond cards less and more than others? Like is pulling Ohtani less likely than pulling a Max Fried diamond?

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745909https://forums.theshow.com/post/745909Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:29:10 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:26:30 GMT]]>@aaronjw76_PSN I know statistics, and have heavy math and engineering in my education (nor was I educated in the USA). I am not actually bringing up my own personal experience with this game. If anything, I think I've pulled more than my fair share of diamonds. I was just really trying to see if these look box odds are actually regulated and double checked.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745906https://forums.theshow.com/post/745906Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:26:30 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:25:30 GMT]]>

@SiberiaTigerCub_PSN said:

@NWOStunna_PSN I'd like to see a one week tax free community market, where sellers don't get the 10% taken off. That would stimulate the market like it needs.

that would lead to higher prices than we're already seeing.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745904https://forums.theshow.com/post/745904Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:25:30 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:23:16 GMT]]>@NWOStunna_PSN I'd like to see a one week tax free community market, where sellers don't get the 10% taken off. That would stimulate the market like it needs.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745901https://forums.theshow.com/post/745901Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:23:16 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:21:31 GMT]]>

Always assume those posts are cherry picked or highly embellished. Very few people come in and post "I got 4 diamonds in my last 50 packs"

I'm not just talking about this game either, but the bigger loot box and card pack practice in gaming in general. Lots of people are raising eyebrows to if the pack odds are actually being seeded properly. Who holds them accountable?

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745898https://forums.theshow.com/post/745898Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:21:31 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:20:31 GMT]]>@SiberiaTigerCub_PSN

The numbers can be skewed a lot with cheap/low diamond players and diamond stadiums, icons and other basically worthless cards. The truly good diamonds are much lower than the stated odds.

So technically correct but extremely misleading. It’s not like these are real cards with actual value. Once this game cycle is complete they are worth absolutely nothing.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745897https://forums.theshow.com/post/745897Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:20:31 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:19:38 GMT]]>@XxSoLiSxX_PSN I do remember all of the discourse over the EA Star Wars "surprise mechanics". I too do think that game companies in general fudge internal numbers on these things a bit, and now with AI, I can see people that pulled something big will get less in the future, and vise versa.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745896https://forums.theshow.com/post/745896Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:19:38 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:19:20 GMT]]>The awnser is literally in the 3rd post. You dont have to care about your public image when you are makeing money and own the sole rights to something.

You think MLB cares about a sub company as long as they make a profit?

2k and EA with Basketball and Madden, they get sue'd and settle all the time the profit they make is more than the fee. The era of image is dead, No one cares anymore they just want the product. i can think of many companies off the top of my head that knowingly use labor and unethical methods to make a product for so long its known and joked about and yet it still sells.

You have Testimony in front of parliament admitting to such and its just forgotten and ignored =p this is lol

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745895https://forums.theshow.com/post/745895Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:19:20 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:12:45 GMT]]>@TheRupster12_XBL Oh by no means do I think they are faking the odds, but what is actually stopping them from doing so, other than threats of the consequences of negative public image? Surely, some organization audits the pack/loot box odds of game companies?

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745892https://forums.theshow.com/post/745892Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:12:45 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:06:47 GMT]]>@aaronjw76_PSN this made me laugh out loud way too loud. 100% correct.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745890https://forums.theshow.com/post/745890Tue, 07 Apr 2026 16:06:47 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to Do card pack odds get audited by any independent regulators? on Tue, 07 Apr 2026 15:22:14 GMT]]>You would think, so many people complain about odds they might throw a cookie our way once in awhile. Maybe instead of double xp, they could juice packs for a weekend, or do a flash sale on 90+ live series. I’ve been grinding mini seasons and haven’t got a diamond in DAYS. I just opened 32 standard packs, and 7 Ballin’. NOT ONE diamond. So that’s odds for you.

]]>https://forums.theshow.com/post/745876https://forums.theshow.com/post/745876Tue, 07 Apr 2026 15:22:14 GMT